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UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
JPMorgan’s increasing returns Premium content
...They found that the standout stocks today are at much cheaper valuations than the stars of the 90s were, and while the valuations of the Magnificent 7 et al do look a lot like the “Nifties,” they tend to...
March 11, 2024
US & Canadian companies
Morgan Stanley got off lightly
...Overall, the block trading probe has turned out as well as it could have for Morgan Stanley....
January 15, 2024
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
FT MagazineJancis Robinson
Napa Valley is California’s wine barometer, an expensive one
...They followed the Pinault family of Ch Latour et al, who, in 2013, bought what is now called The Eisele Vineyard from the Araujos, and were so confident of their savoir-faire that they didn’t even impose...
April 20, 2024
Unhedged
Inflation narrative whiplash Premium content
...Neither the monster national players (JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup) nor the regionals (PNC, M&T, et al) have had much to say about the economy’s effect on credit quality....
April 17, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Art as investment and investment as art Premium content
...More seriously, Goetzman et al argue that art price changes are largely a function of wealth concentration....
April 15, 2024
Unhedged
Banks and the soft landing Premium content
...The riskiest, most beat-up members of the group (KeyCorp, Comerica, Zions, Western Alliance et al) rose the most....
November 16, 2023
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
Capital markets
The nuances (ish) of private credit vintages
...However, Weinstein et al say they are excited to a large extent because those aforementioned risks are now materialising. As private credit investors, this is the environment we’ve been waiting for....
November 29, 2023
Economists Exchange
Charles Goodhart: ‘We’re in for a fiscal crisis down the road and we don’t know how to solve it’
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
December 14, 2023
Unhedged
The Fed calls the top Premium content
...If you owned rate-sensitive, high-risk stocks yesterday you have Unhedged’s permission to sell and take the rest of the year off (Carvana, Zillow, SoFi, et al rose 10 per cent or more)....
December 14, 2023
Global Economy
Time for some Agency in central bank modelling
...and inflation go hand in hand Bouchaud et al. find that when people trust an “active” central bank, reining in inflation is the outcome of trust, not interest rates....
July 11, 2023
Sovereign bonds
Who’s afraid of the Treasury basis trade?
...But as Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty et al point out, the US government bond market has been pretty choppy for a while now....
September 26, 2023
Disrupted Times
British banks’ torrid summer continues
...Nevertheless, as well as encouraging more competition, authorities need to do more to improve awareness of bank products and make it easier to switch into high-yielding accounts, says the FT’s editorial...
July 26, 2023
Eurozone inflation
Lessons from a century of inflation shocks
...As Isabella Weber et al have written, energy is along with food one of the most “systemic” components of inflation....
September 18, 2023
Unhedged
US growth is good, but less good Premium content
...al)....
October 4, 2023
Eurozone economy
Ignore the angry bleating of aggrieved creditors
...CC Pakistan et al....
August 21, 2023
FT Live
Commodities Asia Summit
Enabling decarbonisation in a time of disrupted trade flows
Wednesday, 6 NovemberSingapore
European banks
A Suisse twist
...Here’s Citi’s Andrew Coombs et al. then: For the European banks, we see less risk of deposit flight and believe they have more liquid balance sheets....
March 15, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
First Republic’s dilemma Premium content
...Shares in other banks considered to have some degree of asset-liability mismatch (Western Alliance, Zions et al) only saw their shares wobble a little bit yesterday....
April 26, 2023
Transcript
Transcript: Learning to love the boom
...What about how concentrated the stock market gains are with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google et al? I mean, shouldn’t that weigh against this rally? What about that? Katie MartinMaybe yes....
March 5, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Banks: quickly, then slowly Premium content
...To put it more simply: Jiang et al argue there are $2.2tn in mark-to-market losses out there, and there is only $2.2tn in equity in the US banking system....
March 24, 2023
Summer Books 2023
Best summer books of 2023: Critics’ picks
...Plus if you really miss Brian Cox et al, you can slowly flick through the archive photographs while humming a haunting piano theme....
June 23, 2023
US Dollar
The hottest US export is the dollar
...And corporations of all types use longer-term currency swaps to hedge their own foreign currency bond liabilities (McBrady et al (2010), Munro and Wooldridge (2010)). The BIS’s suggestion?...
December 5, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The market is up — narrowly Premium content
...The recent rise of the Faangs, et al, looks like a knee-jerk reaction to the fall in rates and rate expectations that followed the banking mess (the 10-year yield has fallen from 4-ish per cent to 3.6-ish...
April 19, 2023
Moral Money
How to make debt swaps and influence people Premium content
...The point is to be a convening place that can contribute by offering “le gîte et le couvert” — “a place to eat and a place to sleep” — she added....
June 5, 2023
FT MagazineJancis Robinson
Bordeaux’s 2022 vintage: a delightful mystery
...Peynaud’s successors at the University of Bordeaux, currently Marchal et al, produce a detailed report on the growing season every year....
May 6, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Techs good, transports bad Premium content
...But as Steven Kelly of the Yale Program on Financial Stability pointed out to me, Yellen et al will need the goodwill of the big banks should some other bank or banks get into trouble....
April 28, 2023

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