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...We've had issues around the supply chains, single supply routes, inefficiencies in the system....
...However, at c.18x recovered earnings, we’d prefer to look elsewhere or wait for a cheaper entry point....
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...Current company-compiled consensus expectations are for revenue decline of c.7% for FY20 and EBITDA decline of c.15% (i.e. revenues of £516m and EBITDA of £115m)....
...Management guides to c£60mn of net benefit in 2H (c£78m extra costs offset by six month business rates relief of £137mn)....
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...The move fuelled a significant escalation of trade tensions with some of Washington’s closest allies, and prompted retaliatory Canadian duties on C$16.6bn ($12.2bn) worth of US goods....
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...at the ‘C-suite’....
...Our forecasts assume the full £500m is invested in land in FY20, and that the benefit in the P&L is seen later 2022 but to a larger extent in FY23....
...The C-suite ignores this at its peril; particularly if Covid-19 continues to spread — and the impetus to “Build Back Better” continues to swell....
...Modelling a recovery to 4% margins by FY24, we derive a £37 target price. 1H revenue growth of +21% was supported by a successful Jan/Feb period (rev +23%, c.+800bps vs cons)....
...Against the general trend, yesterday Ferrari confidently guided to a V-shaped recovery in its P&L from H2/20....
...Here’s Investec (sell) to summarise: [L]ockdowns are impacting consumption in North America (c. 30% of sales), Europe (c. 20% of sales), India (c. 10% of sales), Africa (12% of sales) and many countries...
...So far the country has used administrative measures to boost supply....
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