Hints and tips:
...Andrew Goodwin, chief UK economist at Oxford Economics, says: “Movements in swap markets are an incomplete guide [to future mortgage rates] since they leave out several factors.”...
...“We’ve seen a pick-up in inquiries this year, too — both from movers and from first-time buyers, there’s a growing confidence,” says Ray Boulger of the company....
...Law firm Goodwin has named 58 new partners....
...Ray Barrell: Growth in the UK should be moderately positive in the next year....
...Goodwin has hired Jacqueline Eaves as a partner in its private equity and private funds practices, based in London. She joins from Kirkland & Ellis....
...Andrew Goodwin: I think the BoE has already done enough, but I expect it to do more....
...Andrew Goodwin: I don’t think the Bank of England has lost control of inflation in the first place....
...Andrew Goodwin: One of the hidden transmission mechanisms is through local government finances....
...Goodwin has hired Matt Mauney as a partner in the law firm’s Washington DC office. Mauney was previously at partner at Kirkland & Ellis....
...Ray Barrell: Field trials are uncommon in macroeconomics, but now we have one....
...Andy Goodwin, associate director, Oxford Economics Uncertainty is likely to work in both directions in Q1....
...Ray Barrell, professor, Brunel University London Real wages growth is likely to be negative next year as the economy slows down, with nominal wage growth unlikely to be much above two per cent....
...Ray Barrell, professor, Brunel University London Productivity growth in the UK in 2018 is likely to be around the average of the last few years, with no pick-up in sight....
...Ray Barrell, professor, Brunel University London UK households care about what they earn, how much their house is worth and whether they have a job....
...Andrew Goodwin, lead UK economist, Oxford Economics We think bank rate will remain at 0.5 per cent throughout 2018 because inflation will slow much more rapidly than the MPC anticipates....
...Andrew Goodwin, Lead UK Economist, Oxford Economics We expect the UK to grow by 1.5 per cent in 2017, placing it above only Italy in the G7 rankings....
...Ray Barrell, professor, Brunel University London More optimistic than 12 months ago....
...Andrew Goodwin, lead UK economist, Oxford Economics I would expect to see the CPI measure move up to the 2.5-3% range towards the end of 2017....
...Ray Barrell, emeritus professor, Brunel University, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Net Immigration has been increasing the UK population by 5 per cent per decade recently, and given...
...Andrew Goodwin, lead UK economist, Oxford Economics No. I expect 2017 to be something of a non-event with regard to monetary policy....
...Ray Barrell, emeritus professor, Brunel University, National Institute of Economic and Social Research We have long known about the difference between insurable and unknowable risks....
...Ray Barrell, emeritus professor, Brunel University, National Institute of Economic and Social Research The OBRs projections for trend growth looked perhaps a little high, and this might induce pressure...
...Andrew Goodwin, lead UK economist, Oxford Economics In terms of calendar year averages we don’t expect much of a slowdown — maybe from 2% to 1.5%....
...Ray Barrell, emeritus professor, Brunel University, National Institute of Economic and Social Research Feel about the same as 12 months ago We know little about life outside the EU at present, as the role...
...Ray Barrell, a professor at Brunel University, said reducing public spending as a share of the total economy was always difficult....
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