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...To which Baude and Paulsen reply that orders of magnitude of violence are beside the point and that Section 3 is no anachronism....
...What else we’re reading Red and Blue America refuse to budge The most stunning takeaway from the US midterm elections, writes John Burn-Murdoch, is not how much has changed, but how little....
...Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at The Leuthold Group, said he expects a “colossal” set of results across the board, driven by “strong top-line sales”....
...Fishing for a new job, Pozsar sent his paper out to three people: the hedge fund managers Bill Ackman and John Paulsen, and Bill Dudley, who at the time ran the markets desk of the New York Federal Reserve...
...One wrinkle is that estimates by Wall Street for earnings over the next year are usually 7 per cent too high according to John Butters, senior analyst at FactSet....
...At the same time, the sector remains fertile hunting ground for companies promising high-octane growth, with “biting edge innovative research and development”, according to Mr Paulsen....
..., former Treasury Secretary; Joe Wright (Office of Management and Budget director under Ronald Reagan); Antonio Villaraigosa (Los Angeles mayor from 2005-13); Erik Paulsen, the former Republican lawmaker...
...But Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said he was more optimistic about the economy after this week’s employment data, which served as a “reminder that we can have hotspots...
...“It’s scary — it’s hard to ignore,” said Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist for the Leuthold Group, noting that the signals from the yield curve contrasted with recent highs in the US equity market...
...This chart is from Leuthold's Jim Paulsen: Jim is swift to point out that the scales are different. The extremes of the dotcom bubble were much greater. But the pattern of behaviour is similar....
...The chart, from Leuthold’s Jim Paulsen, was supposed to show the proportion of the S&P 500’s market cap made up by the prime "defensive" sectors of utilities, telecoms, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples...
...John Sides, a political scientist at George Washington University, says Mr Trump’s approvals ought to be 10 or 20 points higher based on the robust level of consumer sentiment alone....
...US stocks: full to capacity Old friend Jim Paulsen of Leuthold has an interesting new measure which he dubs the stock market equivalent of capacity utilisation....
...However, as Morten Paulsen at CLSA noted in a recent report, with a share price of ¥62,100, a "0.3 per cent dividend yield is not high enough to get anybody too excited”....
...The following chart, from Leuthold's Jim Paulsen, shows the proportion of the S&P 500's market cap made up by the prime "defensive" sectors of utilities, telecoms, pharmaceuticals and consumer staples:...
...john.authers@ft.com...
...This is from Jim Paulsen of the Leuthold Group in Minnesota: Historically, during the post-war era, recession risk associated with a flattening yield curve is less than 20%....
...Jim Paulsen of Leuthold, using a simpler measure of six-month growth rates in M2 and GDP, finds that the two lines have just met....
...“People are pinning a lot of hope on the first-quarter earnings season,” notes Jim Paulsen, chief market strategist at The Leuthold Group....
...This chart from Jim Paulsen shows that the clearest message from recent history is to prefer non-US assets over the US....
...To quote Jim Paulsen of the Leuthold Group: "We just have no read on Jay Powell. This is the first chance many of us have had to hear him....
...Jim Paulsen of Leuthold, meanwhile, writing in late January just as the correction was about to unfurl, suggested the low trade-off between the two was due to the sluggish rate of overall growth....
...As Jim Paulsen of Leuthold points out, even if stocks have moved to a permanently higher valuation range, they are now exceeding that range: High valuation tells you nothing about when the stock market...
...Here is a simple illustration from Jim Paulsen of Leuthold Group....
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