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Federal Reserve
Bullish Jay Powell sticks to Fed’s rate-cutting script
...But their reaction on Wednesday to the Fed’s announcement was far from disappointment, with a sharp rise in equities feeding a rally that has added 27 per cent to the S&P 500 since October....
March 21, 2024
US inflation
Fed chair Powell expects US inflation to keep cooling in coming months
...Stocks have rallied strongly this year, with the blue-chip S&P 500 enjoying its best start to a year since 2019, having risen 10.2 per cent in the first quarter of 2024....
March 29, 2024
FT Live
Global Banking Summit
The world's top gathering of leaders in finance
Tuesday, 3 DecemberLondon, UK
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed ‘not far’ from having confidence to cut interest rates
...Stocks and bonds were both higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500 up 1.2 per cent while yields on rate-sensitive two-year Treasuries hovered around three-week lows at 4.52 per cent....
March 7, 2024
US employment
‘Stunning’ US jobs growth of 353,000 far outstrips estimates
...The S&P 500 gained 1.1 per cent on Friday to a record high as a surge in tech stocks helped the market shrug off the change in interest rate expectations....
February 2, 2024
Banks
Investors want US banks’ bonds
...The SPDR S&P Bank ETF has already lost 1.5 per cent this year, while the S&P 500 has climbed by nearly the same amount....
January 22, 2024
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed rate cuts in March are ‘not base case’
...Stocks fell after Powell’s comments, with the S&P 500 ending the day down 1.6 per cent, its worst day in four months, and the Nasdaq Composite down 2.2 per cent, its worst day in three months....
January 31, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
US interest rates
Traders boost US rate cut bets despite pushback from Fed’s Powell
...Stocks also rallied, with the S&P 500 ending the day up 0.6 per cent at 4,594.63, its highest close since March 2022....
December 1, 2023
US interest rates
Powell warns Fed against risk of being ‘misled’ in inflation fight
...US stocks and government bonds extended their losses on Thursday after Powell’s comments, with the benchmark S&P 500 closing down 0.8 per cent....
November 9, 2023
Unhedged
Is that it, Jay? Premium content
...The S&P 500 rose at first, but by the end of the trading day had round-tripped. Powell’s message was unmistakable, if familiar....
July 27, 2023
Federal Reserve
Powell warns inflation ‘too high’ in Jackson Hole speech
...points to 5.07 per cent following Powell’s remarks, while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield added 0.01 percentage points to 4.25 per cent.Equities swung between small gains and losses, with the S&P...
August 25, 2023
Sovereign bonds
What will Jay Powell say about the Fed’s next moves?
...Economists polled by Reuters expect S&P Global’s composite eurozone PMI, a gauge of business activity, to have declined slightly from 48.6 last month to 48.5 — keeping it below the 50 threshold that separates...
August 20, 2023
US economy
When presidents lean on Fed chairs, everybody loses
...A common target of Trump’s missives was a then-fresh-faced Federal Reserve chair called Jerome Powell. Trump wanted Powell to cut rates, and wasn’t shy about saying it....
November 15, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Powell splits the difference Premium content
...From the autumn of 1989 (as far back as Bloomberg’s data on the S&P bank index goes) to the 2000 market peak, banks’ total return was 14 per cent annualised, to the market’s 18 per cent....
March 23, 2023
Global Economy
To whom doth central bankers speak?
.... and inflation by 11 p.p., all else being equal....
September 8, 2023
Equities
US equities tick higher as investors digest Powell testimony
...The blue-chip S&P 500 advanced 0.1 per cent while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4 per cent....
March 8, 2023
FT Live
Commodities Asia Summit
Enabling decarbonisation in a time of disrupted trade flows
Wednesday, 6 NovemberSingapore
Markets
US stocks rise after Powell’s comments
...The benchmark S&P 500 rose 1.3 per cent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 1.9 per cent....
February 7, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Is the Fed ignoring market risk? Premium content
...Remember that the S&P 500 is 15 per cent off its lows of October, while junk bond spreads have tightened by a full percentage point....
February 2, 2023
Equities
US stocks jump after Fed announces smaller rate rise
...The S&P 500 rose 6 per cent in January while bond yields fell, making it easier for companies to raise cash....
February 1, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Markets don’t believe Jay Powell Premium content
...The S&P 500 fell 2 per cent between the release of the statement and the opening minutes of Jay Powell’s news conference half an hour later....
December 15, 2022
US interest rates
Powell warns Fed is prepared to return to bigger rate rises
...The Fed chair’s remarks prompted a stock market sell-off, with the S&P 500 closing 1.5 per cent lower in New York while the Nasdaq fell 1.25 per cent....
March 7, 2023
Equities
US equities slide as investors turn cautious on outlook for interest rates
...The blue-chip S&P 500 ended 1.1 per cent lower as traders’ concerns lingered that rates may rise more than they expected since last week’s blockbuster US jobs report....
February 8, 2023
News in-depthFederal Reserve
Economists detect dovish undertones from ‘more optimistic’ Jay Powell
...That helped fuel a rally in US government bonds and stocks, with the S&P 500 closing at its highest level since last summer....
February 2, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
How to be a bear Premium content
...Others will look at the chart of cyclically adjusted P/E ratio (that is, the S&P 500 price divided into 10-year average earnings) and point out that it is bang at its average since 1995 (28)....
November 1, 2022
US inflation
Fed chair warns of even higher rates if jobs data stays strong
...The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were up 0.8 per cent and 1.1 per cent, respectively, in afternoon trading....
February 7, 2023
Equities
Bank stocks slide after First Republic rescue fails to reassure investors
...The blue-chip S&P 500 ended Friday 1.1 per cent lower while the Nasdaq Composite closed off 0.7 per cent....
March 17, 2023

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