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Economists Exchange
Charles Goodhart: ‘We’re in for a fiscal crisis down the road and we don’t know how to solve it’
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
December 14, 2023
Megan Greene
Central banks shouldn’t relax about R-star just yet
...Given how volatile the data was during Covid-19, Williams et al suspended their estimates until May....
July 3, 2023
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The market is up — narrowly Premium content
...The recent rise of the Faangs, et al, looks like a knee-jerk reaction to the fall in rates and rate expectations that followed the banking mess (the 10-year yield has fallen from 4-ish per cent to 3.6-ish...
April 19, 2023
UnhedgedUS economy
US consumers are still riding high Premium content
...If we are right that consumer spending, despite some recent softening on the margin, is still at or above trend, that is another thing for Powell et al to fret over....
February 1, 2023
Central banks
Rethinking the value of collateral for money markets
...A Federal Reserve Board of Governors paper by Edmund Crawley et al says $2.5tn of Fed balance sheet unwind would approximately equate to a 0.50 percentage point of tightening, or 20 basis points per trillion...
July 7, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Readers see a recession Premium content
...All assets may perform badly under stagflation, but we’d rather own Pepsi, Johnson & Johnson, Kimberly-Clark, Bristol-Myers et al than sit and watch our cash lose its earnings power....
June 8, 2022
FT Live
Evolving retirement strategies in an ever-changing world
What new regulatory developments mean for IFAs
Tuesday, 30 April1 Friday Street, London
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Bank stocks as bellwethers Premium content
...The Federal Reserve, it appears, is going to tighten with total predictability and imperceptible gentleness; inflation will be transient; Evergrande et al will not sink the Chinese economy; lions will lie...
September 24, 2021
US & Canadian companies
Will Covid and Klarna kill the credit card?
...“If I think of the amount of pressure I’m under as a deposit taker and the care and attention I have to take when providing unsecured lending to younger people, it is staggering me that Klarna et al are...
September 17, 2021
FTfmJohn Dizard
What is the true value of Burford’s $773m claim against YPF?
...For example, in a 2010 opinion (Chevron Corp v Steven Donziger, et al) handed down from the US district court in Manhattan, the judge wrote that the “evidence at trial established that Donziger, a New York...
May 1, 2020
Markets InsightCentral banks
Investors should prepare for a welcome return of inflation
...The deflationary narrative of disruptive technology expounded by Brynjolfsson, McAfee et al runs deep....
June 4, 2020
News in-depthFT Alphaville
Rising healthcare costs are another driver of US inequality
...Chetty et al. (2017) find that there is a 14 years life expectancy gap between top and bottom 1% males in the US, and that this gap has widened since 2001....
October 28, 2019
Equities
Markets Now - Thursday 9th April 2020
...Andrew Garthwaite et al at Credit Suisse has had a fiddle about with the model portfolio, resulting in insurers getting a push....
April 9, 2020
Gavyn Davies
Can Donald Trump force the Federal Reserve to cut rates?
...According to a recent NBER paper by Francesco Bianchi et al, the average short term effect of each tweet has been to reduce forward interest rates by 0.28 basis points, implying that the effect of all the...
October 6, 2019
Equities
Markets Now - Wednesday 22nd April 2020
...There’s not much precedent to support the idea that Shina et al can walk away based on a MAC clause: WPP was forced against its will to buy Tempus in 2001, Guy Hands couldn’t scrap a bid for East Surrey...
April 22, 2020
Cordelia Jenkins
Opinion today: How corruption went global
...We followed along with FDR, Eisenhower, JFK, Reagan, Clinton and Bush et. al in their postwar course because we wanted to or had to: there was no alternative worthy of considering or competition....
June 19, 2018
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
FT AlphavilleMatthew C Klein
How did Cypriots respond to the 2013 banking crisis?
...Bank shareholders lost money as well, but the survey data from Brown et al found that shareholders did not increase their holdings of cash if they had avoided any haircut on deposits or bonds: The type...
March 20, 2018
FTfmJohn Dizard
London may be key to ‘hot’ euro-yuan rival to the US dollar
...This was disproved by the trial of US v Zarrab et al, in which a Turkish banker and a gold trader were convicted of laundering Iranian oil and gas revenues....
January 7, 2018
FT AlphavilleDavid Keohane
Further reading
...This is on whether Macron et al will push ahead with a reform to deduct income tax at source. Yup, really....
June 27, 2017
News in-depthFT Alphaville
Sorry Jamie, Fed economists think bank capital is still too low
...Going back to Firestone et al, they found that adding additional percentage points to the capital ratio reduces the risk of crisis by less and less as the level of capital rises....
April 5, 2017
FT AlphavilleKadhim Shubber
The never ending research note on ageing (yes, that one)
...The gap has also been widening, rising by 2.34 years for men and 2.91 years for women since 2001 (source: Chetty et al 2016) – with deaths by suicides, substance abuse, and drug overdoses rising for certain...
May 23, 2016
Free LunchMartin Sandbu
Free Lunch: The long view for economic policy Premium content
...Goodhart et al. make a good case for blaming demography for all three — and for thinking that the fall in working-age populations may help, largely because the market response to labour scarcity will be...
March 7, 2016
FT AlphavilleDavid Keohane
Conundrum, redux?
...Here’s the Fed’s recent hike in context, courtesy of BofAML’s Hartnett et al....
December 21, 2015
FT AlphavilleDan McCrum
Saving the market: two examples of intervention
...Mowat et. al, Oct 8 2014)....
August 10, 2015
FT AlphavilleMatthew C Klein
Do demographics dictate lower returns to capital and faster inflation?
...Unsurprisingly, Greenspan et al believe China’s integration of its low-cost workforce and state-subsidised capital into the world economy over the past two decades has depressed prices everywhere....
January 15, 2016
Free LunchMartin Sandbu
Free Lunch: Money for nothing Premium content
...Williamson and Gomme et al. suggest as much. While investment is lower than before the crisis in Europe, that is not true in the US....
August 26, 2015

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