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Markets InsightMakhtar Diop
Better risk data should boost confidence in emerging markets
...This is roughly comparable to average default rates observed in companies that receive a B credit rating from S&P (3.4 per cent) and a B3 from Moody’s (4 per cent)....
April 25, 2024
Asset allocation
*SOLD OUT* The FT Alphaville pub quiz is finally returning to New York
...Nearest subway stop is Houston Street Station on the 1 line, but West 4th St (A, C, E, B, D and F lines) is just a short walk away. How much? $20 per person....
April 4, 2024
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
Israel-Hamas war
US plans to label goods from Jewish settlements in occupied West Bank
...Israeli human rights group B’Tselem says 620,000 Jewish settlers are living in East Jerusalem and the West Bank, which have been occupied by Israel since the six-day war in 1967....
April 5, 2024
LexOil
Oil traders bet Iran will want to keep its exports flowing Premium content
...These have picked up markedly in recent years, from a low of about 400,000 b/d in the pandemic year of 2020 to about 1.4mn b/d recently, according to Richard Bronze at Energy Aspects....
April 15, 2024
Global Economy
Dissecting the OG Brady Plan
...That’s why more progress needs to be made in various multilateral forums dealing with these issues, including through the G20’s Common Framework for Debt Treatments beyond the Debt Service Suspension Initiative...
January 12, 2024
Unhedged
Investment banks vs private credit Premium content
...Ramki Muthukrishnan and Ruth Yang, who cover leveraged finance for S&P, agree this is best understood as the gradual restoration of competition, rather than banks surging into the lead....
February 20, 2024
FT Live
FTWeekend Festival: U.S. edition
Where the Financial Times weekend paper comes to life
Saturday, 4 MayThe REACH, at the Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, F Street Northwest, Washington, DC, USA
Markets InsightMoritz Kraemer
African criticism of credit ratings is a red herring
...The writer is chief economist at German bank LBBW and former chief ratings officer at S&P A debt crisis is ravaging what has been dubbed the “global south”....
January 19, 2024
Mortgages
Better times are coming for UK mortgage holders
...One perspective is that the UK just got lucky: 2012–2013’s mortgage market wouldn’t have weathered the post-pandemic rate cycle anywhere near as smoothly as 2022–23’s mortgage market did....
February 6, 2024
Letter
Letter: Current package of half measures can’t cure Africa’s debt crisis
...If anything, Kraemer argues, the credit rating agencies have been rating too generously, evidenced by figures showing the default ratio for B-rated African countries has historically been much higher than...
January 26, 2024
SoftBank Group Corp
SoftBank finance chief criticises S&P for lack of credit upgrade after Arm deal
...issuing corporate bonds and borrowing from banks”....
September 21, 2023
Equities
Small stocks, big problems
...In contrast, the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio is close to the record 5 times it touched in 2021 and 2000 (the Nasdaq’s P/B ratio is close to 7.5 times)....
April 17, 2024
FirstFT
FirstFT: Trump supporter bankrolls Robert F Kennedy Jr’s White House bid
...Chart of the day The S&P 500 rose 3.1 per cent in July after closing up 0.2 per cent yesterday at 4,588.96....
August 1, 2023
LexCommodities
Marex: commodity dealer tests London’s mettle Premium content
...S&P puts the group’s risk-adjusted capital ratio at about 12 per cent, less than most banks core capital....
December 8, 2023
The Week Ahead
UK Autumn Statement, Black Friday heralds holiday retail binge
...Also, S&P Global November PMI data for manufacturing and services UK: GfK Consumer Confidence Survey US: S&P Global November PMI data for manufacturing and services....
November 19, 2023
Due Diligence
The Morgan Stanley of Europe? Premium content
...Baker Tilly secured a $1bn investment led by H&F in February. Buyers are spotting an opportunity that has played out inside their own industry....
March 19, 2024
FT Live
Global Private Banking Awards 2024
Celebrating excellence in wealth management
Thursday, 7 NovemberThe Landmark London, London, UK
Markets
Can spreads ever be too tight? Premium content
...As you can see at right, bank credit is still restricted, but spreads don’t care....
March 19, 2024
FirstFT
FirstFT: Rupert Murdoch marks end of an era and hands over reins to son Lachlan
...One more thing: We are launching a new central banks newsletter for premium subscribers....
September 22, 2023
Special ReportFTfm: Fixed Income
Floating-rate exposure set to cause more balance-sheet pain
...Rating agency S&P Global has forecast that, by June 2024, corporate default rates in the US will rise to 4.5 per cent, up from 1.7 per cent at the start of 2023....
November 6, 2023
Cryptocurrencies
What is a FRAX? And other pressing questions
...Looks like S&P Ratings doesn’t find “attestations” especially convincing, either....
December 13, 2023
News in-depthJapanese business & finance
Hiromi Yamaji: The banker turned stock exchange boss rattling Japan’s listed companies
...And the bank expects Japanese P/B ratios to hit an average of 1.8 by 2025, versus 1.4 at the moment and just 0.95 in late 2012....
November 5, 2023
Emerging markets
If a country defaults and no one is around to notice it, does it matter?
...S&P says Cameroon also made some late payments on some “noncommercial, bilateral creditors” — we’re guessing some national or supranational development banks — but that it doesn’t classify this as a default...
August 9, 2023
Global Economy
Moody’s points to further pain after surge in corporate defaults
...Weakest links pertain to companies rated “B minus” and lower with negative outlooks....
January 17, 2024
News in-depthG20
Western nations accept ‘climbdown’ on Ukraine to salvage G20’s relevance
.../ From J F Siebert, Shetland, UK...
September 10, 2023
FT and Schroders Business Book of the Year 2024
Business Book of the Year Award 2024: winners pick their favourites
...As the recent bank failures and continuing weakness in regional banks in the US suggest, we have still not fully addressed the problem. I would write about that....
April 22, 2024
Israel
Israel raises $6bn in borrowing bonanza to fund war against Hamas
...Brazil, which has a triple B minus credit rating from S&P, six rungs lower than Israel, issued a seven-year dollar paper this week in its first-ever foreign currency sustainable bond with a yield of 6.5...
November 17, 2023

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