Hints and tips:
...Productivity-hype bubbles are usually separated by at least 25 years and usually form at the end of a secular bull market, when aggregate profits are coming under pressure, say Garthwaite et al....
...But as Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty et al point out, the US government bond market has been pretty choppy for a while now....
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
...For their part, dealers’ non-financial customers such as exporters and importers use FX forwards to hedge trade-related payments and receipts, half of which are dollar-invoiced (Boz et al (2020))....
...But as Steven Kelly of the Yale Program on Financial Stability pointed out to me, Yellen et al will need the goodwill of the big banks should some other bank or banks get into trouble....
...In the communications sector, the video entertainment companies (Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount, Disney, Netflix et al) explain the bulk of the outperformance....
...The [US Federal Trade Commission], SEC, and other federal agencies exist to regulate bad products. This is what governments do....
...A Federal Reserve Board of Governors paper by Edmund Crawley et al says $2.5tn of Fed balance sheet unwind would approximately equate to a 0.50 percentage point of tightening, or 20 basis points per trillion...
...A UK-US trade deal remains as far off as ever....
...A true crisis could develop if Binance et al have significant hidden exposure to declining prices, perhaps through DeFi investments....
...All assets may perform badly under stagflation, but we’d rather own Pepsi, Johnson & Johnson, Kimberly-Clark, Bristol-Myers et al than sit and watch our cash lose its earnings power....
...Small caps tend to be more volatile than blue-chip stocks both on the way up and down — and could be big medium-term winners if Kolanovic et al are right....
...There is for sure a debate to be had about when the Federal Reserve et al should have pivoted their stance more forcefully to tackle inflationary pressures, and what they should and shouldn’t do now....
...They look at Facebook’s past five years and its attempts — frequently belated, often ambiguous — to deal with the way that state actors (Russia et al), hoodlums (such as the Proud Boys), politicians (a list...
...Despairing of a strong US presence, America’s allies in the region (Japan, Australia, New Zealand et al) will agonise about how much they can slow-walk China’s application to join the CPTPP....
...Surely Zuck et al can make money — serious money — out of messaging software with two billion users. I disagree on the Metaverse, though. It is not “free”....
...The Federal Reserve, it appears, is going to tighten with total predictability and imperceptible gentleness; inflation will be transient; Evergrande et al will not sink the Chinese economy; lions will lie...
...Trump et al v....
...For example, in a 2010 opinion (Chevron Corp v Steven Donziger, et al) handed down from the US district court in Manhattan, the judge wrote that the “evidence at trial established that Donziger, a New York...
...The global community should be looking to rest, adjust or trim the ways things are, on a regular basis otherwise there will be imbalances allowing Trumps et al to garner support to deal with greater accrued...
...‘They’ (the Fed) are looking at ‘us’ (equities, the yield curve et al), and we the market, are looking at them, in a veritable echo chamber — as ‘we’ are both looking at the same data.”...
...Andrew Garthwaite et al at Credit Suisse has had a fiddle about with the model portfolio, resulting in insurers getting a push....
...According to a recent NBER paper by Francesco Bianchi et al, the average short term effect of each tweet has been to reduce forward interest rates by 0.28 basis points, implying that the effect of all the...
...(Incidentally, for my money, Cronenberg’s scuffed aesthetic has dated at least a little better than the gleaming postmodernism of Neo and Trinity et al.)...
...There’s not much precedent to support the idea that Shina et al can walk away based on a MAC clause: WPP was forced against its will to buy Tempus in 2001, Guy Hands couldn’t scrap a bid for East Surrey...
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