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Federal Reserve
Former Fed officials’ trades gave ‘appearance of conflict’ but did not break rules
...The trading activity of two former top Federal Reserve officials created an “appearance of conflict of interest” with their duties as US monetary policymakers, although they were cleared of any unlawful...
January 22, 2024
US banks
US regional banks hope for profit revival as pain from SVB fallout eases
...The bottom lines at Comerica, based in Dallas, Texas, Zions Bank, based in Salt Lake City, Utah, and PNC in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, fell roughly 90 per cent, 55 per cent and 40 per cent, respectively....
January 29, 2024
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
Chris Giles on Central Banks
Central banks lower the bar for rate cuts Premium content
...Jay Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, likes to say: “It will likely be appropriate to begin dialling back policy restraint at some point this year.”...
April 9, 2024
US economy
‘Slower for longer’
...Before Logan took over the Dallas Fed in 2022 she managed the entire Fed system’s balance sheet out of the NY Fed....
January 8, 2024
Unhedged
Quantitative tightening is easy Premium content
...But since the Bank of England began QT in February 2022, global central bank balance sheets have been trimmed aggressively....
March 4, 2024
Chris Giles on Central Banks
Can rate cuts and quantitative tightening mix?
...England, European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve....
March 12, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
US banks
US regional bank shares slide as higher rates dim profit outlook
...Comerica, based in Dallas, reported that its profits fell by nearly 30 per cent from the same quarter a year ago....
October 20, 2023
US interest rates
Investors lose hope of rapid US interest rate cuts this year
...Investors are further reducing their bets on interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve this year, as strong economic data boosts conviction that the central bank will need to keep borrowing costs higher...
April 8, 2024
US employment
US jobs growth of 303,000 outstrips forecasts and weighs on rate cut bets
...Traders dialled back their bets on imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts after data showed US employers added 303,000 jobs in March, in a further sign of a buoyant labour market and a boost to President Joe...
April 5, 2024
US inflation
Markets slash bets on rate cuts after US inflation rises to 3.5%
...Traders slashed bets on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts on Wednesday after US inflation surpassed expectations and Joe Biden acknowledged there was “more to do” on fighting price rises....
April 10, 2024
Chris Giles on Central Banks
The Fed’s battle against inflation is almost complete
...This is the second week of major central bank monetary policy meetings. There have been no moves so far and none expected from the Federal Reserve tomorrow or the Bank of England on Thursday....
January 30, 2024
Chris Giles on Central Banks
A jittery Fed meets serene markets Premium content
...Email me: chris.giles@ft.com Markets vs the Fed Everyone knows that financial markets are far ahead of the Federal Reserve in expecting interest rate cuts....
January 9, 2024
Unhedged
Banks and the soft landing Premium content
...When the market dropped sharply at the end of 2018, partly because of concerns about Federal Reserve policy and a slowing economy, banks fell harder than the rest of the market, and did not make up the difference...
November 16, 2023
Unhedged
Uber’s Dara Khosrowshahi defends buyback policy
...As we discussed in Monday’s letter, the Federal Reserve began paying interest on commercial bank reserves, which had previously yielded nothing....
February 28, 2024
Chris Giles on Central Banks
2024 is still the year for rate cuts Premium content
...The Office of Inspector General, which oversees the Fed, has issued a long-awaited report into the trading activity of two former top Federal Reserve officials, Robert Kaplan of the Dallas Fed and Eric Rosengren...
January 23, 2024
FT Live
Future of the Car
The technology and new business models shaping the next decade in automotive
Tuesday, 7 MaySancroft, Paternoster Square, London EC4M 7DQ, UK
News updates from January 22: US and UK launch new strikes at Houthis, Arnault to tap sons to LVMH board
Fed watchdog clears ex-officials Kaplan and Rosengren in trading probe
...Two former senior Federal Reserve officials were cleared of legal wrongdoing in an investigation into their trading of private securities during 2020, according to a report by the US central bank’s internal...
January 22, 2024
Sovereign bonds
The Fed’s QE comeback could be dangerous
...The assumption has been that ON RRP drainage was protecting bank reserves and that, only once these reserves started to fall would we have to worry about a rerun of 2018....
January 11, 2024
FirstFT
FirstFT: US banks set for profits boost
...The largest US banks are set this year to earn higher profits from their lending businesses than expected as it becomes more likely that the Federal Reserve will make only modest cuts to benchmark interest...
April 9, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Is the rally over? Premium content
...This is visible, for example, in the sharp move up in bank stocks, especially higher-risk regional banks such as Fifth Third, Citizens, KeyCorp, Zions and Comerica (all up 40 per cent or more since late...
January 22, 2024
FirstFT
FirstFT: Biden to warn Beijing against South China Sea aggression
...Monetary policy: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis president Neel Kashkari participates in conversation with Missoula community members and University of Montana faculty and students, in Missoula, Montana...
April 8, 2024
US interest rates
Federal Reserve officials back rate rise pause in September
...Lorie Logan, president of the Dallas Fed and voting member on the Federal Open Market Committee, became the latest official to signal support for the central bank to keep its benchmark rate at a 22-year...
September 7, 2023
US interest rates
Fed rate cuts? A strong US economy makes for a fraught decision
...Strong US growth looks set to boost Federal Reserve officials’ belief that they can afford to take their time on cutting rates, as they prepare to meet on Wednesday....
January 29, 2024
News in-depthCentral banks
Central banks rethink forecasting after failures on inflation
...The European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and other official forecasters failed to see how the end of Covid-19 lockdowns and an energy shock triggered by Russia’s full-scale invasion...
December 28, 2023
US interest rates
Federal Reserve determined to ‘proceed carefully’ on inflation policy
...Federal Reserve officials agreed in September that the US central bank should “proceed carefully” on interest rate decisions, while acknowledging that monetary policy should remain restrictive for some time...
October 11, 2023
Unhedged
A value stock comeback, maybe Premium content
...This makes sense to me, inasmuch as what happened at the end of 2023 is that the market concluded that falling inflation would allow the Federal Reserve to loosen policy soon....
January 9, 2024

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