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UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Berkshire or the S&P? Premium content
...Berkshire and the S&P 500 If your entire equity portfolio had to be in either the S&P 500 or Berkshire Hathaway, which would be the better choice?...
February 26, 2024
Equities
Buy the dip! Or, don’t.
...But if you’d bought the dip each time a 25 per cent decline happened in the Brazilian, Italian, Hong Kong, Argentinian or Russian markets, you’d likely be cursing yourself....
March 6, 2024
FT Live
Commodities Asia Summit
Enabling decarbonisation in a time of disrupted trade flows
Wednesday, 6 NovemberSingapore
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Higher earnings, please Premium content
...Against such an economic backdrop, you’d expect similarly robust earnings growth. But judging by bottom-up analyst estimates, that’s not happening....
April 8, 2024
Skin in the GameStuart Kirk
S&P exceptionalism versus ‘expensiveism’
...The S&P 500 isn’t at such extremes today....
February 9, 2024
UK equities
FTSE 100 closes at record high as sterling weakens
...“Markets have priced out lots of the Federal Reserve rate cuts they’d expected earlier in the year, but they’re still hopeful for the Bank of England and European Central Bank.”...
April 22, 2024
Transcript
Transcript: Active changes to passive indices
...Toby NangleSo yeah, I mean, I’d quite like that to finish, really. So if it was me, I’d ask the SEC to finish its investigation and report. Katie Martin Yeah, finish the job, SEC, says Toby....
April 23, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
LexApple Inc
Apple’s buyback bonanza could be casualty of antitrust crackdown Premium content
...Over the past 10 years the size of its buyback scheme dwarfs both its R&D spend and the buyback schemes from peers, adding up to a total of $658bn, according to data from S&P Global....
March 27, 2024
Unhedged
Dealing with the dividends doubters Premium content
...S&P 500 dividend yields went as high as 9.2 per cent in the first quarter of 1938, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. Even IPOs paid them, as I read to my surprise in Peris’s book....
February 21, 2024
Equities
Structured products and the ‘broken Vix’ discourse
...TL;DR: The size of funds that directly affect the Vix calculation is too modest, and if they were to blame you’d see a very different pattern in options prices. So what is to blame?...
March 13, 2024
High yield bonds
Is it PIK-up time for cash-strapped companies?
...And yes, they’d be right. A PIK note tends to give the issuer options....
February 21, 2024
Unhedged
Regime change is here
...Political will for public R&D investment has materialised....
April 19, 2024
Passive Investing
The US equity market is one of the least concentrated in the world
...And — as a chart borrowed from Duncan Lamont at Schroders shows — the extent of concentration in the S&P 500 is not something investors are used to....
March 4, 2024
LexOil
Oil traders bet Iran will want to keep its exports flowing Premium content
...These have picked up markedly in recent years, from a low of about 400,000 b/d in the pandemic year of 2020 to about 1.4mn b/d recently, according to Richard Bronze at Energy Aspects....
April 15, 2024
Markets volatility
Vix ‘fear gauge’ soars on Middle East tensions and interest rate shift
...“The risk was that the market would keep rallying and that they’d underperform.”...
April 17, 2024
Meta Platforms
How Meta got over Silicon Valley’s disdain for dividends
...“It is a coming of age,” said Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P, of the dividend announcement....
February 2, 2024
FT Live
Crypto and Digital Assets Summit Asia
Transforming mainstream finance
Thursday, 5 DecemberDigital Conference
Transcript
Transcript: The Five Minute Investor — Magnificent Seven
...If you have any exposure to the S&P 500, then the S&P 500, the biggest index on the planet, is dominated by these names. Claer Barrett Even global indices. Katie Martin Even the global indices....
April 23, 2024
US banks
US bank stocks sink to all-time low against S&P 500
...I’d be no better than equal weight.” So far this year, the S&P banks index is down about 12 per cent, while the benchmark S&P 500 has risen more than 13 per cent....
November 11, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The valuation of the Mag 7, revisited Premium content
...Given the chance to disaggregate the Mag 7, I’d argue that Google and Meta don’t look terribly expensive relative to historical and expected growth; while Nvidia, Microsoft and Tesla do look very pricey....
February 12, 2024
Equity valuation
One weird-looking bull market
...Take a classic approach to market analysis and you’d have a good argument for calling this a bull market....
December 21, 2023
Adventurous InvestorDavid Stevenson
Fintech finally starts to add up for investors
...The KBW Nasdaq Fintech index is up 31 per cent over the past year, compared with a return of 25 per cent for the broader S&P 500....
April 19, 2024
Market bubbles
Big tech will either be fine or probably mostly fine, says Goldman
...The Mag 7 re-invests 60% of their cash flow from operations through growth capex and R&D. This reinvestment rate is more than double the 26% of the Tech Bubble 5 and about 3x that of the S&P 493....
February 6, 2024
LexStellantis
Stellantis makes an unlikely market darling for car investors Premium content
...That compares with 6.8 per cent at Volkswagen, on S&P Capital IQ estimates. Being big also means that necessary investments, in new models and R&D, are less of a drag....
February 13, 2024
Hedge funds
Share price surge helps largest hedge funds to biggest profits on record
...TCI made $12.9bn for investors and ended last year up 33 per cent, ahead of the S&P 500 index’s 24 per cent rise....
January 22, 2024
Natural gas
AI revolution will be boon for natural gas, say fossil fuel bosses
...“We figured at some point over the next few years, we’d start to see a downturn [in gas use]....
April 1, 2024
Adventurous InvestorDavid Stevenson
Options ETFs give investors a handy hedge
...That sums up nicely how these products sit within a spectrum of returns — you’d have made much more from straight equity investing but with a structured product you’d have received a less volatile, steady...
March 9, 2024

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