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The Week Ahead
Opening arguments begin in Trump trial
..., Germany, India, Italy, Japan, UK, US: S&P Global flash manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data Japan: Chain Stores Association March supermarket sales UK: ONS March public sector...
April 21, 2024
Unhedged
The Fed calls the top Premium content
...If you owned rate-sensitive, high-risk stocks yesterday you have Unhedged’s permission to sell and take the rest of the year off (Carvana, Zillow, SoFi, et al rose 10 per cent or more)....
December 14, 2023
FT Live
FTWeekend Festival: U.S. edition
The Saturday where the Financial Times Weekend paper comes to life
Saturday, 10 May 2025The REACH, at the Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, F Street Northwest, Washington, DC, USA
Transcript
Transcript: Learning to love the boom
...What about how concentrated the stock market gains are with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google et al? I mean, shouldn’t that weigh against this rally? What about that? Katie MartinMaybe yes....
March 5, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The market is up — narrowly Premium content
...The recent rise of the Faangs, et al, looks like a knee-jerk reaction to the fall in rates and rate expectations that followed the banking mess (the 10-year yield has fallen from 4-ish per cent to 3.6-ish...
April 19, 2023
FirstFT
FirstFT: US House passes debt ceiling bill
...Fedspeak: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia president Patrick Harker will speak on the economic outlook before the National Association for Business Economics monetary policy and outlook webinar....
June 1, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The yield curve might be wrong Premium content
...Here he is, as quoted by Bloomberg speaking at the National Association for Business Economics: There’s good research by staff in the Federal Reserve system that really says to look at the short — the first...
March 22, 2022
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
The Week Ahead
Gatherings for central bankers and military chiefs
...P Global manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data The ECB will end its long-running bond-buying scheme, part of stimulus measures introduced a decade ago, to help battle stubbornly high inflation...
June 26, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Bank stocks as bellwethers Premium content
...The Federal Reserve, it appears, is going to tighten with total predictability and imperceptible gentleness; inflation will be transient; Evergrande et al will not sink the Chinese economy; lions will lie...
September 24, 2021
The world in 2023
UK economists’ survey: ‘miserable’ year ahead for households
...In addition, the impact of 2022’s interest rate increases, with Bank rate now 325 basis points higher than where it started in 2022, will apply a material squeeze to household budgets, on top of the impact...
January 2, 2023
Disrupted Times
Donald Trump creates confusion over US stimulus package Premium content
...“Too little support would lead to a weak recovery, creating unnecessary hardship for households and businesses,” said Mr Powell in a speech to the National Association for Business Economics on Tuesday....
October 7, 2020
FT Wealth
Uncertain outlook means rethinking portfolio allocation
...Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey maps a depression that is “V-shaped”. OECD secretary-general Ángel Gurría thinks the valley is “more like a U”....
June 23, 2020
Equities
Markets Now - Thursday 9th April 2020
...Andrew Garthwaite et al at Credit Suisse has had a fiddle about with the model portfolio, resulting in insurers getting a push....
April 9, 2020
Equities
Markets Now - Wednesday 18th March 2020
...These factors mean that what was supposed to be a V-shaped trajectory in AxJ would look more U-shaped....
March 18, 2020
UK business
UK economists’ survey: recovery will be slower than in peer countries
...The UK urgently needs both a real, green national investment bank, and authentic, regional banks, like the nascent South West Mutual....
January 3, 2021
Equities
Markets Now - Thursday 14th May 2020
...And, as lockdown measures are softened, the return of the likes of Gregg's, Starbucks et al to the UK FtG market will increase competition....
May 14, 2020
FT Live
Decarbonising India's Industries
Unlocking the technologies and capital required to accelerate progress
Tuesday, 11 JuneDigital Conference
News in-depthFT Alphaville
Guest post: Collateral velocity is rebounding
...to central bank reserves, by most dealer banks except one — JPMorgan (also see, Ihrig et, al, 2018)....
May 22, 2019
Due Diligence
The Italian bank is ready to pick up the pieces if an all-German merger fails Premium content
...advocate groups such as the National Rifle Association....
April 5, 2019
News in-depthUS equities
Why bulls on Wall Street are becoming an endangered species
...More than three-quarters of the 281 National Association for Business Economics members believe a US recession will occur before the end of 2021, according to a survey released last week....
March 7, 2019
UK business
Why the ‘Boris bounce’ is likely to be shortlived
...Noble Francis , economics director, Construction Products Association Not really....
January 1, 2020
FT AlphavilleThomas Hale
The Novo Banco debacle and the rule of law in Europe
...The lawyers representing BlackRock et al argue that the retransfer of the bonds was “unlawful”. Only five bonds were moved, out of a total of 52 conceivable candidates....
January 19, 2018
UK economy
Trump’s presidency could have ‘mildly positive’ effect for the UK
...But effects on U.K. only marginally positive — and the fiscal expansion may not happen....
January 2, 2017
Brexit
Most economists still pessimistic about effects of Brexit
...Financial instability ($500bn QE pumped out each quarter by G4 central banks, negative bond yields, effectively insolvent (absent public subsidies) global banks, low levels of lending, high real rates for...
January 7, 2017
Currencies
Brexit: What worries Europe’s richest
...If Brexit goes through, will EU nationals living and working here suddenly have to apply for a visa to stay?...
March 4, 2016
Markets InsightCapital markets
Crazy equities should be boring as bonds
...The work of Prof Shiller et al suggests excess volatility is not easily identifiable in the US Treasury bond market, in which not even QE has triggered what equity people would call a bubble....
June 11, 2014
FT AlphavilleDavid Keohane
The 6am London Cut
...US officials have defined the advances made by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (known as Isis) – an offshoot of al-Qaeda – as a potential direct threat to US national security....
June 20, 2014

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