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UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
JPMorgan’s increasing returns Premium content
...They found that the standout stocks today are at much cheaper valuations than the stars of the 90s were, and while the valuations of the Magnificent 7 et al do look a lot like the “Nifties,” they tend to...
March 11, 2024
FT MagazineJancis Robinson
Napa Valley is California’s wine barometer, an expensive one
...They followed the Pinault family of Ch Latour et al, who, in 2013, bought what is now called The Eisele Vineyard from the Araujos, and were so confident of their savoir-faire that they didn’t even impose...
April 20, 2024
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
Apple Inc
‘Sell Apple’
...Productivity-hype bubbles are usually separated by at least 25 years and usually form at the end of a secular bull market, when aggregate profits are coming under pressure, say Garthwaite et al....
February 27, 2024
Unhedged
Inflation narrative whiplash Premium content
...Neither the monster national players (JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup) nor the regionals (PNC, M&T, et al) have had much to say about the economy’s effect on credit quality....
April 17, 2024
On Wall StreetJoe Miller
‘Spoofing’ case might draw back curtain on high-speed trading firms
...Last month, NWBO and its Reddit fans were rebuffed by a Manhattan court, which granted Citadel et al’s motion to dismiss the case. But there was a sting in the tail....
March 2, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Art as investment and investment as art Premium content
...More seriously, Goetzman et al argue that art price changes are largely a function of wealth concentration....
April 15, 2024
FT Live
Global Banking Summit
The world's top gathering of leaders in finance
Tuesday, 3 DecemberLondon, UK
Unhedged
Banks and the soft landing Premium content
...The riskiest, most beat-up members of the group (KeyCorp, Comerica, Zions, Western Alliance et al) rose the most....
November 16, 2023
Capital markets
The nuances (ish) of private credit vintages
...However, Weinstein et al say they are excited to a large extent because those aforementioned risks are now materialising. As private credit investors, this is the environment we’ve been waiting for....
November 29, 2023
Economists Exchange
Charles Goodhart: ‘We’re in for a fiscal crisis down the road and we don’t know how to solve it’
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
December 14, 2023
Unhedged
The Fed calls the top Premium content
...If you owned rate-sensitive, high-risk stocks yesterday you have Unhedged’s permission to sell and take the rest of the year off (Carvana, Zillow, SoFi, et al rose 10 per cent or more)....
December 14, 2023
Global Economy
Time for some Agency in central bank modelling
...and inflation go hand in hand Bouchaud et al. find that when people trust an “active” central bank, reining in inflation is the outcome of trust, not interest rates....
July 11, 2023
Sovereign bonds
Who’s afraid of the Treasury basis trade?
...But as Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty et al point out, the US government bond market has been pretty choppy for a while now....
September 26, 2023
Disrupted Times
British banks’ torrid summer continues
...Today’s top stories The US Federal Reserve announces its decision on interest rates at 2pm ET/7pm London today. Check back here for details and reaction....
July 26, 2023
Megan Greene
Central banks shouldn’t relax about R-star just yet
...Given how volatile the data was during Covid-19, Williams et al suspended their estimates until May....
July 3, 2023
Eurozone inflation
Lessons from a century of inflation shocks
...As Isabella Weber et al have written, energy is along with food one of the most “systemic” components of inflation....
September 18, 2023
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
Unhedged
US growth is good, but less good Premium content
...al)....
October 4, 2023
Global Economy
R Star Star Wars: The Phantom Menace
...That the Fed’s rate increases precipitated a banking crisis before they got inflation down to even vaguely near their target looks like a good example of what Akinci et al were arguing last year....
May 23, 2023
Eurozone economy
Ignore the angry bleating of aggrieved creditors
...CC Pakistan et al....
August 21, 2023
Special ReportFT Business School Insights
Business school sustainability research: What is read most?
...Sautner et al generate insights useful in predicting important outcomes, including job creation in disruptive green technologies and green patenting....
July 6, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
First Republic’s dilemma Premium content
...Shares in other banks considered to have some degree of asset-liability mismatch (Western Alliance, Zions et al) only saw their shares wobble a little bit yesterday....
April 26, 2023
European banks
A Suisse twist
...Here’s Citi’s Andrew Coombs et al. then: For the European banks, we see less risk of deposit flight and believe they have more liquid balance sheets....
March 15, 2023
Artificial intelligence
Generative AI will be great for generative AI consultants
...It’s from JPMorgan analysts Tien-tsin Huang et al, who cover IT services at the bank....
July 21, 2023
On Wall StreetWilliam Cohan
Wall Street’s big shift raises case for a new regulatory stance
...Isn’t it high time the regulators increased oversight on Blackstone and Apollo, et al, as this relatively new and powerful group of financial titans continue their march to the top of the heap on Wall Street...
March 25, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Banks: quickly, then slowly Premium content
...To put it more simply: Jiang et al argue there are $2.2tn in mark-to-market losses out there, and there is only $2.2tn in equity in the US banking system....
March 24, 2023
FT Alphaville
Can a rest be as good as a change for the Bank of England?
...Citi’s Ben Nabarro has summed up the complex action vs words balance Andrew Bailey et al. will need to strike at a “tight call” meeting....
March 17, 2023

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