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...Labour plans to immediately ban MPs from pursuing most second jobs if it wins the next UK election but would allow them to continue giving paid speeches and doing broadcast work on a “case by case basis”...
...I’m a bit sceptical, as I noted in yesterday’s letter, but then I’m a journalist. If any non-journalists have thoughts, please send them along: robert.armstrong@ft.com. Does Buffett matter?...
...In today’s newsletter: How Buffett’s successors stack up Viking river boat cruise makes PE rich Can Buffett’s successors beat the S&P 500?...
...These early successes illustrate Buffett’s own reflection on his work, that his life “has been a product of compound interest”....
...If the pair cannot match what Buffett did, it raises a question about both the company’s value and its reason to exist in a world where passive index funds are touted as safer, cheaper and more reliable...
...Of course, Berkshire might be the least risky company in the S&P 500, right, because it is well diversified. But we’re not comparing it to any company in the S&P 500....
...Looking at a 20-year chart of the price/earnings valuations of the S&P 500 and its small cap sibling the S&P 600, it seems possible that this is what has happened to small stocks: Small caps (dark blue...
...Bank of America estimates that if interest rates stay at their current level, it will translate into a 32 per cent hit to earnings over the next five years....
...JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup collectively made $253bn in net interest income (NII) for the whole of 2023 — a 19 per cent jump from 2022’s total....
...“Better US growth means better prospects for US earnings and equities [but] it also means higher US rates — fewer interest rate cuts — and a stronger dollar, as growth elsewhere has been lacklustre,” said...
...“As a result, I think it’s much more likely money comes pouring back into China-focused ETFs than ESG ETFs — if and when performance turns....
...If it doesn’t happen, I will see you in a decade and I will apologise. Sounds fair....
...The S&P 500 fell 1.2 per cent on Thursday, its biggest one-day drop since mid-February, as traders weighed the potential of a widening conflict in the Middle East and a possible Iranian retaliation for a...
...“If I compare the interest from German institutional investors and funds at the September [2023] roadshow to what I saw in December and January — it was very different,” said Wiegand, adding that capital...
...Sure, a CCC-rated PIK bond looks better than a defaulted bond in your portfolio. But, as S&P puts it when explaining why U.S....
...She pointed to the two narratives that have driven stocks higher in recent months, noting that if growth remained robust, that would give stocks a reason to rally, while if the economy slowed and interest...
...UBS, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Barclays all predict that the BoJ will hold steady following a historic shift last month when it ended its negative interest rate policy and removed its cap on the...
...The Democrat top 10 also includes cyber security company CrowdStrike Holdings and API Group, a provider of safety systems, neither of which are even in the S&P....
...Hunt’s would-be successor Rachel Reeves has accused the government of “gaslighting” the public and that any positive scraps of news were too little, too late and not making Britons feel better off....
...The dollar index gained 8 per cent that year, while the S&P 500 shed almost one-fifth of its value, the biggest annual drop since the global financial crisis in 2008....
...I leave it to readers to decide whether there is any chance that Barclays’ latest strategic reboot has any chance of working. You can read the FT’s coverage of it here, here, and here....
...It’s just that we don’t have any strong convictions about the macro environment....
...And it has only fallen more than a tenth seven times and more than 5 per cent nine times. Plus I have a quarter of my portfolio in bonds in case shares take a tumble....
...Analysts have upgraded their forecasts for the US economy this year, bolstering hopes of a soft landing and bets that the Federal Reserve will delay interest rate cuts until the summer....
...If anything, there is greater sensitivity. On Thursday, the S&P 500 reversed a boosterish 0.8 per cent morning gain to close 1.2 per cent lower — its worst day in eight weeks....
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