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...To mark this moment while it doesn’t yet feel like a mistake, we’ve added a festive Jerome Powell-themed design to our Redbubble store: — Jerome Powell, Christmas Saviour (black text)— Jerome Powell, Christmas...
...But Powell’s stern sounds yesterday could easily turn serene tomorrow....
...“Speakers today like Kashkari and [Austan] Goolsbee may be trying to push the center away from Powell’s views....
...So it’d be interesting to see who gets that job in the end. Marc Filippino Owen Walker is the FT’s European banking correspondent. Thank you, Owen. Owen Walker Great. Thanks very much....
...“The US economy remains very robust and the main engine of global growth,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY, who has recently raised his projection for 2024 from 1.8 per cent to 2.2 per cent....
...Jay Powell’s Federal Reserve dithered on raising interest rates until it had no choice but to act....
...These have picked up markedly in recent years, from a low of about 400,000 b/d in the pandemic year of 2020 to about 1.4mn b/d recently, according to Richard Bronze at Energy Aspects....
...Attention will focus on the words of Fed chair Jay Powell after the meeting....
...But we do think that, to get inflation back down to 2 per cent sustainably, we’d like to see, you know, continuing gradual movement of wage increases at still high levels but back down to levels that are...
...“The risk was that the market would keep rallying and that they’d underperform.”...
...“The bank does not appear to have taken any comfort from subsiding price pressures in the US and the eurozone,” said Ruth Gregory of Capital Economics, adding that the BoE’s statement “suggests it is happy...
...In a poor start to my last year of £5 tickets, my regular D&D group conflicts with this very good-looking concert by the Nash Ensemble next week....
...To have renewed tightening, we’d probably have to see the US labour market heat up more....
...The description of the final weeks of Emily’s life is almost unbearably moving: “All my life I’d withstood any damage inflicted on me, even by my own hand, felt sure that I would always recover,” she reflects...
...Axel’s chart below shows, in dark blue, the term premium lagged five years and, in light blue, the how much more you’d earn holding a five-year bond over taking the short-term rate....
...Deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics Ruth Gregory says: “The evidence in the UK isn’t there for rate cuts in the near term.”...
...“To get inflation down to 2 per cent, we think you’d need to see wage growth at 3.5 per cent and unemployment rise to around 4.5 per cent.” “We think there will be a recession in 2024....
...He later added the Fed would not wait until inflation had returned to 2 per cent to begin to cut rates because “you’d want to be reducing restriction on the economy well before” that point “so you don’t...
...The US’s stint as global policeman peaked with the D-Day landings. D-Day saved Europe, but it was arguably an act of American altruism. Had Hitler won in Europe, the US might have thrived in isolation....
...And they decided that they'd do better to take their money elsewhere. This documentary quite literally isn't long enough for us to discuss all of them here....
...Email me: chris.giles@ft.com Stephen D King on inflation Earlier this year, Stephen D King published an acclaimed book, We Need to Talk About Inflation, outlining lessons he thought we needed to learn...
...And yeah, I mean, Jay Powell knows better than I do whether they’ve got that right. So, again, it’s not just Powell and the Fed....
...“Across the board, it’s a good report,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY Parthenon....
...I took his class and then TA’d it [worked as a teaching assistant] for two years. Every year he’d look at the class and go: “Markets are almost assuredly not perfectly efficient,” and you’d get a gasp....
...In the accountancy department of a forgotten company, Carol meets other lonely souls who’d rather scale a mountain of paperwork than Everest....
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