Hints and tips:
.../ From Stephen “Swifty” Warden, Toronto, ON, Canada...
...Yet his epiphany on reforms came several decades ago while he was working at a correctional institute not far from Angola....
...Peter Dixon, economist, Commerzbank Not sure I would go that far....
...Peter Dixon, Commerzbank By end 2017 I expect CPI inflation to be north of 2.5%, with a peak of around 3% in mid-2018....
...John Vickers, warden, All Souls College, Oxford Significantly, but don’t ask me how....
...John Vickers, warden, All Souls College, Oxford The new charter is a further step in the UK fiscal policy tradition of virtue postponed....
...John Vickers, warden, All Souls College, Oxford I just don’t know....
...James Sproule, chief economist, Institute of Directors Up, but ever so slowly....
...Peter Dixon, Commerzbank Relative to the expected 2016 outcome, I reckon we will lose around 0.6 percentage points of growth as it slows to 1.4%....
...John Vickers, warden, All Souls College, Oxford More pessimistic than 12 months ago (I note the question is premised on Brexit.)...
...Peter Dixon, Economist, Commerzbank Government measures to raise buy-to-let stamp duty may take some heat out of the market, though possibly not before a huge surge in activity between now and April....
...Ryan Bourne, Head of public policy, Institute of Economic Affairs If the past 8 years have shown us anything, it’s that forecasting is a mug’s game....
...Peter Dixon, Economist, Commerzbank I believe it will be tighter, with the BoE raising interest rates by 50 bps (but with a clear risk of only one 25 bps move)....
...Peter Dixon, Economist, Commerzbank (a) Not very much....
...Peter Dixon, Commerzbank: The housing market is less in need of restraint than a significant supply boost....
...Peter Dixon, Commerzbank: Based on a simple price to income multiple, prices are still a bit on the high side although the data differs according to the source one uses....
...Tony Dolphin, Institute of Public Policy Research: No....
...Sensibly the government has reacted by extending the period of the correction rather than by raising taxes or making further cuts now....
...Philip Booth, Institute of Economic Affairs: It will probably not be buying gilts but I would expect inflation to be close to target....
...Philip Booth, Institute of Economic Affairs I think property prices will continue to fall and this should be welcomed in the same way that cheaper cars should be welcomed....
...Philip Booth, Institute of Economic Affairs Inflation: pretty concerned. High risk of this causing some problems (though not really serious problems)....
...Peter Dixon, Commerzbank No....
...Peter Dixon, Commerzbank I suspect the UK recovery will be slow at first but gather some pace as we head towards late 2010....
...John Philpott, Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development There should be no serious consolidation before 2011....
...Tony Dolphin, Institute for Public Policy Research It was an illusion because it was built on an unsustainable accumulation of household debt....
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