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...OECD secretary-general Ángel Gurría thinks the valley is “more like a U”. UK national statistician Ian Diamond can even see a cliff edge in the form of an “L”....
...That is our snap reaction in economic or financial crises and why we cling to our repertoire of charts of V, U or L-shapes of recovery, among many....
...“L&G offers a 6.3% 2020E dividend yield, 1.2% above the sector average. Pre-2016 L&G's yield averaged 0.4% above the sector.”...
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...Apart from negative l-f-l rental and value growth, we assume recapitalizations to an LTV of c.35% by 2021 lowering the EPS and NAV by c.49% and c.61%....
...France L&S and Italy will not pay dividends this year, and XL Bermuda is unlikely to. The slack is only partly taken up by France P&C which is over distributing....
...The C-suite ignores this at its peril; particularly if Covid-19 continues to spread — and the impetus to “Build Back Better” continues to swell....
...Table 1 starts with RR’s u/l EBITA in 2022E and then deducts the utilisation of cash provisions, the excess of investment over D&A, then interest and tax....
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...Against the general trend, yesterday Ferrari confidently guided to a V-shaped recovery in its P&L from H2/20....
...Q4 2019 u/l PBT beat “rebased” consensus expectations by £111m (13%), though the outlook statement is somewhat sobering. ......
...V, U, or L? The nature of Covid-19 growth impact means that some elements – e.g., production resumption, inventory restocking, and travel normalisation – would lend a natural rebound to growth....
...The sector offers an entry point into a U-shaped recovery The sharp equity correction implies that the market has already priced in material downgrades to consensus....
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...This tends to be c.20% higher....
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