Hints and tips:
...Samuel Tombs: 2022 will be the year of peak fiscal pain....
...David Kern, consultant economist at Kern Consulting, formerly chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce and at NatWest With unemployment remaining low wages gradually strengthen during 2018, rising...
...David Kern, consultant economist at Kern Consulting, formerly chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce and at NatWest The BoE will raise interest [rates] very slowly in 2018, with Bank Rate reaching...
...David Kern, consultant economist at Kern Consulting, formerly chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce and at NatWest There will be a modest improvement as the economy adjusts to the prospects...
...Samuel Brittan Easier than one would think. Shock of Brexit is in the past....
...David Kern, Consultant Economist, Kern Consulting, Formerly Chief Economist at the BCC & at NatWest I expect UK GDP growth to slow slightly in full-year terms, from 1.6 per cent in 2017 to 1.5 per cent...
...David Kern, consultant economist at Kern Consulting, formerly chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce and at NatWest More pessimistic than 12 months ago....
...David Kern, chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce, said the deficit remained “unacceptably high” and called on the government to do more to support exporters....
...Samuel Tombs, economist at Pantheon, said the data “underlines that the recovery is struggling on all fronts”, while Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit, said it was the latest sign the “UK’s economic...
...Samuel Tombs of Pantheon said it was “simply too soon to conclude” the sector was at a turning point....
...Samuel Tombs, economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said he estimated that, after denting growth in the third quarter, net trade could knock 0.5 percentage points off growth in the third quarter....
...David Kern, chief economist at the BCC, said it was clear “more must be done to help support export growth, including improved access to funding for those looking to export”....
...David Kern, chief economist at the British Chambers of Commerce, said that while the decline was encouraging it was “important not to overstate” the improvement, stressing that the “scale of the decline...
...David Kern, Chief Economist, British Chambers of Commerce b) struggle to impose his planned spending cuts but revenues will remain on target or better George Osborne spending cuts are very ambitious....
...David Kern, Chief Economist, British Chambers of Commerce UK monetary policy will be slightly tighter by the end of 2016....
...David Kern, Chief Economist, British Chambers of Commerce My greatest concern is that our unsustainable external deficit starts undermining international confidence in the UK....
...David Kern, Chief Economist, British Chambers of Commerce Britain will grow at a mediocre pace in 2016, some 2.4-2.5%, the same as in 2015 and worse than in 2014....
...www.samuelbrittan.co.uk ——————————————- Letter in response to this column: No need to exaggerate underperformance of UK economy / From Mr David Kern...
...Sir Samuel Brittan Roughly in line with growth in the absence of shocks....
...Sir Samuel Brittan, No good def of full employment. I expect the level to settle in between prewar and postwar rates....
...From Mr David Kern. Sir, Sir Samuel Brittan (“Britain is let down by its bean-counting politicians”, June 28) is right to warn us against the “fallacy of composition”....
...David Kern, British Chamber of Commerce UK GDP growth will almost certainly slow in 2015, from the 3 per cent pace expected in 2014....
...David Kern, British Chamber of Commerce The Bank of England raise should only consider raising interest rates in the final months of 2015 at the earliest....
...David Kern, British Chamber of Commerce Some slippage in the current deficit reduction plans is highly likely whatever the result of the UK election....
...“We are bumping along the bottom,” said David Kern, the BCC’s chief economist....
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