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Gillian Tett
What eight centuries of data tell us about interest rates
...However, even more interesting (and counter-intuitive) is Rogoff et al’s failure to find a statistical correlation between real rates and fundamental economic trends....
April 11, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Art as investment and investment as art Premium content
...More seriously, Goetzman et al argue that art price changes are largely a function of wealth concentration....
April 15, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
Unhedged
Inflation narrative whiplash Premium content
...Neither the monster national players (JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup) nor the regionals (PNC, M&T, et al) have had much to say about the economy’s effect on credit quality....
April 17, 2024
Capital markets
The nuances (ish) of private credit vintages
...However, Weinstein et al say they are excited to a large extent because those aforementioned risks are now materialising. As private credit investors, this is the environment we’ve been waiting for....
November 29, 2023
Capital markets
We should all be ‘very disappointed’ and ‘deeply concerned’ about Zambia’s debt predicament
...The near-term financial burden in the base case is what China et al are objecting to. Here’s what the Zambian finance ministry said it had been told after the deal collapsed....
November 27, 2023
Sovereign bonds
Who’s afraid of the Treasury basis trade?
...But as Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty et al point out, the US government bond market has been pretty choppy for a while now....
September 26, 2023
FT Live
Commodities Asia Summit
Enabling decarbonisation in a time of disrupted trade flows
Wednesday, 6 NovemberSingapore
Unhedged
The Fed calls the top Premium content
...If you owned rate-sensitive, high-risk stocks yesterday you have Unhedged’s permission to sell and take the rest of the year off (Carvana, Zillow, SoFi, et al rose 10 per cent or more)....
December 14, 2023
Unhedged
Banks and the soft landing Premium content
...The riskiest, most beat-up members of the group (KeyCorp, Comerica, Zions, Western Alliance et al) rose the most....
November 16, 2023
Eurozone economy
Ignore the angry bleating of aggrieved creditors
...CC Pakistan et al....
August 21, 2023
Economists Exchange
Charles Goodhart: ‘We’re in for a fiscal crisis down the road and we don’t know how to solve it’
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
December 14, 2023
Disrupted Times
British banks’ torrid summer continues
...Today’s top stories The US Federal Reserve announces its decision on interest rates at 2pm ET/7pm London today. Check back here for details and reaction....
July 26, 2023
Transcript
Transcript: Learning to love the boom
...What about how concentrated the stock market gains are with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google et al? I mean, shouldn’t that weigh against this rally? What about that? Katie MartinMaybe yes....
March 5, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
First Republic’s dilemma Premium content
...Shares in other banks considered to have some degree of asset-liability mismatch (Western Alliance, Zions et al) only saw their shares wobble a little bit yesterday....
April 26, 2023
US Dollar
The hottest US export is the dollar
...And corporations of all types use longer-term currency swaps to hedge their own foreign currency bond liabilities (McBrady et al (2010), Munro and Wooldridge (2010)). The BIS’s suggestion?...
December 5, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The market is up — narrowly Premium content
...The recent rise of the Faangs, et al, looks like a knee-jerk reaction to the fall in rates and rate expectations that followed the banking mess (the 10-year yield has fallen from 4-ish per cent to 3.6-ish...
April 19, 2023
FT Live
Financial Adviser Service Awards 2024
Who gives you 5 star service?
Thursday, 14 NovemberNatural History Museum, Cromwell Road, London, UK
Moral Money
How to make debt swaps and influence people Premium content
...The point is to be a convening place that can contribute by offering “le gîte et le couvert” — “a place to eat and a place to sleep” — she added....
June 5, 2023
FT Alphaville
Further reading
...Social media noise can push token prices around (Tandon et al), but not as effectively as mainstream media coverage (Coulter)....
September 15, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Opec isn’t scaring anyone
...The addition of the “+” countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Mexico et al) to the cartel have increased its market share....
April 4, 2023
HTSI
The moment that changed everything for me…
...The owner, Willy Bogner Jr, worked as a cameraman for a few of the Jimmy Bond movies, which is why Moore was often wearing their sportswear.” Sean Scully, painter “Picasso’s Child with a Dove....
May 2, 2022
Global Economy
How to Powell-proof your economy, per the Bundesbank
...Using Bayesian quantile vector autoregressions (duh) on data from 44 countries, as well as studying GDP impacts and excess bond premium (a cousin of moron risk premium related to corporate bond markets),...
November 22, 2022
Sovereign debt
How to restructure sovereign debt
...Further reading: The Restructuring Process — Buchheit et al. (2019)Government bonds since Waterloo — Meyer et al. (2021)The aftermath of sovereign debt crises: a narrative approach — Esteves et al. (2021...
September 16, 2022
Investing in funds
Bill Gross: Bond-fund taxonomist
...In the US, at least, mom-and-pop investors and advisers build portfolios with the categories used by Morningstar et al....
October 19, 2022
Unhedged
Don’t regulate crypto as finance Premium content
...Luckily, efforts to ram crypto’s square peg into the round hole of the Securities Act of 1933 (et al) have proceeded slowly to date. But there is danger this mistaken project will accelerate now....
November 22, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The SEC should not touch crypto Premium content
...Prosecute fraud, maybe regulate crypto exchanges like casinos, and keep the SEC et al out of it. This is a disagreement about how to cordon off crypto so that when crypto burns, it is controlled....
December 9, 2022
FT MagazineWorld Cup 2022 special
Why middle-aged Messi and Modrić are still the world’s best
...But there’s something else he said that day that probably does more to explain the endurance of Benzema et al today....
November 9, 2022

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