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...Additional reporting by John Paul Rathbone in London...
...Steven van Weyenberg, the Dutch finance minister, echoes its message that governments have to “find new drivers of growth”....
...There is, said Paul Dales of Capital Economics, an “implausibly big hole” in the UK’s public spending plans....
...Paul Johnson, director of the IFS, said pensioners had benefited over time from lower housing costs and from the triple lock, while working-age benefits had been cut....
...Institute for Fiscal Studies director Paul Johnson said her rules would be “identical in effect” to those being followed by the current chancellor, Jeremy Hunt....
...Based on reporting by Roman Olearchyk, Christopher Miller, Ben Hall, Max Seddon, John Paul Rathbone, John Reed, Guy Chazan, Henry Foy, Mehul Srivastava, Polina Ivanova and Tim Judah....
...Additional reporting by Raya Jalabi in Beirut, Mehul Srivastava in London and Felicia Schwartz in Capri Illustration by Ian Bott and cartography by Steven Bernard...
...“This is a classic case of kicking the fiscal can down the road,” said Paul Dales, its chief UK economist....
...Paul Dales, of Capital Economics, said he expected the bank to “throw in the towel” on the notion that it was prepared to lift interest rates further. He expects the first cut to come in June....
...Fleming was knighted in 2021 for his work leading GCHQ....
...Paul Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said it was “plausible” that Hunt’s headroom against his fiscal rules — which commit to cutting debt as a share of GDP in the fifth year of the...
...“A year ago, that looked like a distinct possibility,” said Paul Dales, economist at Capital Economics....
...Paul Dales, UK economist at Capital Economics, said any attempt to improve the UK’s performance would need to address three key areas: improving the labour supply, lifting the investment rate and reinvigorating...
...However, many Tory MPs oppose such a squeeze and Paul Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said it would be a “big choice” that would inflict pain on “some of the poorest” in society....
...Announcing immediate and certain tax cuts in response to highly uncertain changes in assumptions about the UK’s medium-term economic prospects is not a recipe for good management of the public finances,” warned Paul...
...Paul Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies think-tank, said the cut to national insurance contributions “pales into relative insignificance” next to the increase in personal taxes created...
...“It’s a textbook environment for investors to hunker down and move capital toward the US and de-risk in EM and other asset classes,” said Paul Greer, emerging market debt fund manager at Fidelity....
...His core sound is Paul Simon-style folk-pop, a hushed and deceptively simple style, at times verging on twee. However, like Simon, his musical imagination has proved to be boundless....
...Paul Dales of Capital Economics said that Bailey and his colleagues were sending a hawkish message because they do not want markets to conclude that rates will fall anytime soon, loosening financial conditions...
...bank knows that high inflation has dented its credibility so it will want to be absolutely sure that inflationary pressures are consistent with the 2 per cent inflation target before cutting rates,” said Paul...
...The true risks to inflation will depend heavily on the scale of any giveaway, said Paul Johnson, director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies....
...Some of the factors may explain the higher inflation rates seen in the UK compared with its peers, according to Paul Dales of Capital Economics....
...The conflict could “restrain how far inflation falls next year”, Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economics, said....
...“We are in a horrible fiscal bind,” said Paul Johnson, director of the IFS....
...This new work features people Celia has not known as long as she knew Steven or Mrs Paul, obviously, and I think it changes her palette....
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