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From Jodie Keane, Senior Research Fellow, ODI (Formerly Overseas Development Institute), London SE1, UK
...On the surface, this hasn’t happened (at least in the large-cap world), given the S&P 500 rose by 10.2 per cent in the first quarter while the fed funds futures market went from pricing in nearly seven cuts...
...This chart from JP Morgan Asset Management isn’t exactly titled BTFD, but it does remind us that when the S&P 500 has just lost a cool quarter in value, the most successful thing to do has usually been to...
...It probably just doesn’t matter, from the point of view of long-term returns, whether you own Berkshire or the S&P. Why, then, should Berkshire exist?...
...“Maybe we don’t have to wait to see if a bear is aggressive.”...
...Defined outcome or “buffered” ETFs use derivatives to limit the impact of bear and bull market extremes....
...In other words, a seemingly recondite, technical index construction issue explains a decent chunk of the Russell 2000’s long-term woes. But it doesn’t explain it all....
...“You don’t need your hedge funds to beat the S&P every year, but you do want them to beat it over time, for instance over the past decade,” said a pension fund adviser who allocates billions of dollars to...
...The S&P is off 3 per cent. That’s not a sell-off, right? That’s caution....
...All steady businesses that don’t lend themselves to high risk, high return strategies....
...If they aren’t paid enough and drop out, that becomes a problem....
...But simply inverting the old rule for a bear market — down 20 per cent — this market has hooves and horns, and it snorts. Since its recent low on October 27, the S&P 500 has risen 23 per cent....
...S&P 500 dividend yields went as high as 9.2 per cent in the first quarter of 1938, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. Even IPOs paid them, as I read to my surprise in Peris’s book....
...— why would you begin a group singalong of “Champagne Supernova” when you don’t know the lyrics to the second verse?...
...“Their first rule is ‘don’t create a recession’ and the best way of starting a recession is tipping equities into a bear market,” he added....
...So says Victoria Bear Shield, one of a multitude of characters to appear in Tommy Orange’s thrillingly expansive, restless second novel....
...The head of F1’s governing body told the FT last week it was “damaging the sport”....
...That isn’t the case with Unilever’s proposed demerger of its ice-cream business....
...But valuation shifts don’t go on forever....
...A tech collapse wouldn’t be like a traditional bear market where you’d get rotation out of cyclicality into defensiveness and growth....
...Why aren’t earnings estimates higher? This is a robust economy....
...“We don’t expect AI to fix all accessibility issues in the foreseeable future,” Springer said, adding that he recognises its limitations....
...The S&P 500 isn’t at such extremes today....
...Bear with us. Suspend your disbelief Our first assumption is that all US investment grade securities contain a change of control covenant. Why is this assumption wrong?...
...The Nobel and Pulitzer Prize-winning author Pearl S Buck amassed a personal library that fills two rooms of her 19th-century Pennsylvania farmhouse....
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