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US equities
The fading ex-Mag7 earnings outlook
...“Broadening out” is the hot new US stock market narrative, with the equal-weighted S&P 500 index actually beating its top-heavy conventional counterpart over the past month....
April 4, 2024
Equities
Structured products and the ‘broken Vix’ discourse
...Thus only a fraction of overall AUM is deployed in strategies that have a direct impact on the VIX® index (e.g. 1-month over/underwriting strategies on the S&P 500 index)....
March 13, 2024
FT Live
FTWeekend Festival: U.S. edition
Where the Financial Times weekend paper comes to life
Saturday, 4 MayThe REACH, at the Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, F Street Northwest, Washington, DC, USA
Equities
Small stocks, big problems
...The five-year growth rate of the Russell 2000’s earnings per share has been 14.4 per cent, compared with the large-cap Russell 1000’s 15.23 per cent....
April 17, 2024
FT Alphaville
SEC fires ‘AI washing’ warning shot
...making their investment decisions or deciding to invest in companies claiming to harness its transformational power, we are committed to protecting them against those engaged in ‘AI washing,’” said Gurbir S....
March 18, 2024
Investing in funds
Index providers are massively dull — and massively profitable
...At the top of the pile is the S&P 500, which is an absolute beast....
March 19, 2024
Fund management
Once more unto the ‘active comeback’ breach
...And, lo: This wasn’t just a narrow large-cap US stockpickers vs S&P 500 issue either....
March 7, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
Derivative exchanges
The Cboe wants to ‘debunk’ some 0DTE myths
...year ago noted (Alphaville’s emphasis below): We use recent exchange-related developments to identify option trades that originate from retail investors, and find that more than 75% of their trades in S&...
April 15, 2024
Fintech
‘Hedge fund nirvana’
...Another short-selling aspect that often gets forgotten is how higher interest rates also help L/S hedge fund returns by increasing their cash returns....
February 12, 2024
FT Alphaville
FTAV’s further reading
...Secondly, I’ve rebooted my old personal newsletter Buy The Dip, and aside from literally talking my book(s) I’m primarily using it as a way to get Alphaville content out and into people’s inbox (which has...
February 19, 2024
Structured Investment Products
Are structured products to blame for suppressed volatility?
...A classic example of a yield-enhancing structured product is a so-called “covered call”: a purchase of the S&P 500 index and a simultaneous sale of a one-month call option on the index....
March 8, 2024
ReviewFiction
Ours by Phillip B Williams — a place of safety
...Ours by Phillip B Williams, Granta £18.99, 592 pages Join our online book group on Facebook at FT Books Café and subscribe to our podcast Life & Art wherever you listen...
February 15, 2024
Equity valuation
The atrophying UK stock market
...Even with stagnant listings you’d expect average daily volumes to rise over time simply because of inflation – FTSE 100’s market cap has roughly doubled to £2tn over the past two decades....
January 23, 2024
Sovereign bonds
The passive attack on bond markets
...Which is why this new report from S&P Dow Jones Indices caught FT Alphaville’s eye....
February 8, 2024
ETF HubLatest news on ETFs
Show this chart to people who blame passive investing for rising stock market concentration
...Moreover, despite index funds now owning more of the car company than Elon Musk, it’s trading below its S&P 500 index inclusion price....
March 12, 2024
Central bank intervention
People are worried (again) about bond market liquidity
...This was abundantly apparent in March 2020 and 2022’s LDImageddon, even if has never been formally articulated....
March 5, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management North America
New models for the next age of fund management
Wednesday, 25 SeptemberNew York, NY, USA
Fund management
First ‘stockpicker’s year’ spotted!
...Less than 30% of stocks outperformed the S&P 500, the lowest annual breadth in our data history since 1987....
January 5, 2024
Cryptocurrencies
We need to talk about Franklin Templeton
...It’s only barely enough for inclusion into the S&P 500....
January 19, 2024
US presidential election 2024
Looking ahead to 2024’s biggest horror show
...In the median experience since 1984, the S&P 500 forward P/E has declined by 2% in the 12 months preceding Election Day....
November 8, 2023
European companies
The noisiness of financial factors
...Because the changes appear to be the result of intentional modifications to the code, it is unrealistic to assume that we can predict what change[s] might look like going forward....
January 15, 2024
Equities
Move over Tesla, there’s a new options monster in town
...In terms of the nominal number of options contracts being traded, Nvidia has only surpassed Tesla four days so far this year (most recently on Monday), notes Asym500’s Rocky Fishman, and the five-day rolling...
February 15, 2024
Phillips 66 Co
Activist fund Elliott seeks board seats at oil refiner Phillips 66
...In a letter to the board on Wednesday, Paul Singer’s aggressive hedge fund said Phillips 66’s returns had lagged behind peers Valero and Marathon Petroleum and called for the installation of two “highly...
November 29, 2023
Unhedged
Are higher rates inflationary? Premium content
...Looking at a 20-year chart of the price/earnings valuations of the S&P 500 and its small cap sibling the S&P 600, it seems possible that this is what has happened to small stocks: Small caps (dark blue...
April 18, 2024
US equities
Goldman’s US equity forecast for 2024
...UBS also forecasts 4,700 for the S&P 500 at the end of 2024, Wells Fargo has a target range of 4,600-4,800, which is a not-very fancy way of saying “4,700, probs, maybe, dunno”....
November 20, 2023
Robin Lane Fox
A crocosmia coup and other mysteries of the gardening cosmos
...keep off a repeat of 2022’s high heat....
January 5, 2024
US interest rates
This is a Bad Santa rally
...It has already forced Goldman Sachs’s David Kostin to raise his 2024 target for the S&P 500. Update: you can read the full revised US equity market outlook here....
December 19, 2023

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