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...The writer is chief economist of G+ Economics Central banks have made heroic efforts to achieve a rhetoric of normality in bringing rates up from emergency lows....
...The writer is chief economist of G+ Economics As an extreme surge in European gas prices rattles markets, suddenly stagflation has returned as a risk for investors to factor into their outlook, casting...
...The writer, chief economist of G+ Economics, says economies must adapt to supply changes, consumption patterns and labour dynamics. Covid-19 has upended traditional economic theory....
...The writer is chief economist of G+ Economics Covid-19 has upended traditional economic theory....
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, predicted the ECB would halt its bond-buying this year and raise rates by late 2023....
...The writer is chief economist of G+ Economics With economies still reeling from the historic magnitude of the Covid-19 shock, rising borrowing costs will soon mean a pivot in the focus of markets from the...
...Underlying Lena’s cool demeanour is a vulnerability that vulpine Frances easily exploits; just as under the concealer is a recent forehead scar that Lena is reluctant to discuss....
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics: With the weakest productivity per capita, combined with the highest structural inflation problem among major economies, the UK economy is clearly a laggard...
...Covid-19 has upended traditional economic theory, writes Lena Komileva, chief economist of G+ Economics....
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, said the ECB’s move represented “an unprecedented pre-commitment as well as a big institutional culture change”, in contrast to the way it had raised interest...
...A stronger euro “negates almost all of the reflationary benefits from national and expected joint fiscal measures in response to the pandemic this year”, according to Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+...
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, said the rate could “fall ahead of the next bank auction to respond to expectations of sharply weaker lender profitability during the second wave of the pandemic...
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, said: “Measures may prove slower to lift fully during the long winter flu season, even with the strong but short seasonal boost of Christmas travel and retail...
...Lena Komileva, chief economist, at G+ Economics, said there was “confusion over what the ECB wanted to achieve by bringing up the euro”....
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, said: “The many voices of the governing council today send a signal that policymakers are still searching for the common ground on how to respond to the exchange...
...“The shape of the virus resurgence and ensuing business lockdowns and confidence shocks make a double-dip recession the central scenario,” said Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, adding that...
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, said: “This is an ECB president with a very cohesive, collegial leadership style who wants the others to come to a common ground....
...“Having signalled that the strength of the euro does not justify further intervention, the ECB has opened the door to a further rise in the euro towards $1.20,” said Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+...
..., chief economist at G+ Economics....
...Or, as Lena Komileva at G+ Economics, notes: after all the stimulus efforts during the past three months “we are still in an environment where health risks, economic risks and financial risks remain closely...
...Lena Komileva, chief economist, (g+) economics: The UK economy was worst hit by the pandemic among major economies, with the greatest shortfall of economic activity relative to pre-pandemic levels, as well...
...Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics, said the next phase of disruption “will probably extend the pain of real-economy deleveraging and financial capital repair, after a decade of low productivity...
...As for the economy, Lena Komileva at G+ Economics argues: “The best-case scenario is that the global recession of Q2 will give way to a slower pace of contraction on 2019 levels in H2....
...“With credit stresses ever-present in sovereign, bank and credit markets, it remains essential that the ECB stays ahead of the risk curve,” said Lena Komileva, chief economist at G+ Economics....
...Lena Komileva at G+ Economics throws some cold water at market expectations of a transitory pandemic shock and a quick recovery in the second half of 2020: “A persistent recessionary financial tail risk...
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