Hints and tips:
Related Special Reports
...But Powell’s stern sounds yesterday could easily turn serene tomorrow....
...To mark this moment while it doesn’t yet feel like a mistake, we’ve added a festive Jerome Powell-themed design to our Redbubble store: — Jerome Powell, Christmas Saviour (black text)— Jerome Powell, Christmas...
...Jay Powell’s Federal Reserve dithered on raising interest rates until it had no choice but to act....
...“Speakers today like Kashkari and [Austan] Goolsbee may be trying to push the center away from Powell’s views....
...“The risk was that the market would keep rallying and that they’d underperform.”...
...These have picked up markedly in recent years, from a low of about 400,000 b/d in the pandemic year of 2020 to about 1.4mn b/d recently, according to Richard Bronze at Energy Aspects....
...There’s a complacent cosiness to the whole thing but the acting is as blue-chip as you’d expect from this cast....
...And God, if prison was like it is for [my character] Bobby Glass — open air, barbecued steak — I’d be there tomorrow. Few people I’d like to iron out first, mind.”...
...Mike, Kathy, Andrew and Melissa are old friends. The men and women separate to each side. “Aw,” says Kathy. “Australian barbecue rules, is it?” One afternoon, I ask to be dropped off on the island....
...To have renewed tightening, we’d probably have to see the US labour market heat up more....
...The description of the final weeks of Emily’s life is almost unbearably moving: “All my life I’d withstood any damage inflicted on me, even by my own hand, felt sure that I would always recover,” she reflects...
...Axel’s chart below shows, in dark blue, the term premium lagged five years and, in light blue, the how much more you’d earn holding a five-year bond over taking the short-term rate....
...He later added the Fed would not wait until inflation had returned to 2 per cent to begin to cut rates because “you’d want to be reducing restriction on the economy well before” that point “so you don’t...
...“To get inflation down to 2 per cent, we think you’d need to see wage growth at 3.5 per cent and unemployment rise to around 4.5 per cent.” “We think there will be a recession in 2024....
...The US’s stint as global policeman peaked with the D-Day landings. D-Day saved Europe, but it was arguably an act of American altruism. Had Hitler won in Europe, the US might have thrived in isolation....
...Email me: chris.giles@ft.com Stephen D King on inflation Earlier this year, Stephen D King published an acclaimed book, We Need to Talk About Inflation, outlining lessons he thought we needed to learn...
...And yeah, I mean, Jay Powell knows better than I do whether they’ve got that right. So, again, it’s not just Powell and the Fed....
...I’d been day-drinking and spent 15 minutes explaining how Radio Joint Audience Research (Rajar) works. I woke up mortified; she’d been so devastatingly bored....
...I took his class and then TA’d it [worked as a teaching assistant] for two years. Every year he’d look at the class and go: “Markets are almost assuredly not perfectly efficient,” and you’d get a gasp....
...“It has been an exercise in humility,” said Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide, referring to forecasters’ dim record since the pandemic....
...Banerjee can’t have been alone because its writer, Phoebe Eclair-Powell, did win. “What I loved was its treating all the characters with a great deal of empathy,” he says....
...Talking of inflation, my colleague Martin Wolf has an excellent tour d’horizon of the new world of elevated public debt that we have entered, and its potential inflationary impact....
...And you’d have been worrying about inflation a year and a half before Jay Powell said it was “probably a good time to retire” the “transitory” label: Monetarism, the idea that changes in the quantity of...
...And so I think we need to take Fed chair Powell at his word....
...Up until the Powell pivot in 2018-19 [when Jay Powell’s Federal Reserve switched from raising to lowering rates], tech wasn’t at a particularly substantial P/E premium relative to the market....
International Edition