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...country in November.President Joe Biden has been wooing celebrity influencers, recently hosting a White House reception with several hundred viral internet stars with millions of followers, including actor Kalen...
...While the government predicts that inflation will fall to single digits next year, Kalen warns that there is a strong risk that the government will “grossly exceed its inflation forecast”....
...“Headline CPI will likely close in on 30 per cent [year on year] over the coming months,” wrote Phoenix Kalen, analyst at the French bank Société Générale, in a recent note....
...Phoenix Kalen, an emerging markets strategist at Société Générale, said the decision suggested Erdogan was planning to bring forward the next round of presidential and parliamentary elections, currently...
...“That is certainly generating a lot of fears about how fast global growth can recover in a context where China is slowing,” Kalen said....
...But Phoenix Kalen, of Société Générale, wonders if President Recep Tayyip Erdogan — who believes, unconventionally, that high interest rates cause inflation — might wish to see his latest experiment through...
...said Phoenix Kalen, an emerging markets strategist at Société Générale....
...“Going forward, things will become more tricky,” Kalen said....
...“But clearly we did not see that,” Ms Kalen added, saying that the bank had instead returned to a strategy of “stealth tightening”....
...“With Naci Agbal’s removal from the central bank, Turkey loses one of its last remaining anchors of institutional credibility,” said Société Générale strategist Phoenix Kalen, adding: “Turkey may soon be...
...Similarly, Turkey’s central bank “has essentially no room for error”, says Phoenix Kalen, an emerging markets strategist at Société Générale, and will be forced to raise its policy rate by a full percentage...
...Phoenix Kalen of Société Générale predicts the lira will strengthen to 6.2 to the dollar by the end of the year....
...Ms Kalen warns that countries cannot borrow forever, even in a world of record-low interest rates....
...Phoenix Kalen, an emerging markets strategist at Société Générale, said the strong market reaction “reflects expectations that the upheaval in economic policymaking taking place among Turkey’s leadership...
...Phoenix Kalen, an emerging markets strategist at Société Générale in London, said: “We are kicking the can down the road in refinancing the debt problem, which is ballooning dramatically . . ....
...“If you think that the coronavirus’s impact is going to disappear relatively quickly . . . then this is an appropriate strategy,” says Phoenix Kalen, director of emerging markets at the French bank Société...
...Phoenix Kalen, an analyst at Société Générale, described the move as “bold”, adding: “We believe it was unnecessary for the Central Bank of Turkey to be as aggressive as it was at today’s MPC meeting.”...
...Ms Kalen said that, in light of the changes at the top of the bank, it would be difficult for markets to “parse” future interest-rate cuts....
...“There are no longer those big turbo engines to boost EM growth, and this is really a challenging question,” says Phoenix Kalen, emerging markets strategist at Société Générale in London....
...“It’s still a really favourable backdrop that continues to fuel the hunt for yield,” said Phoenix Kalen, emerging markets strategy director at Société Générale....
...That was echoed by Société Générale analysts Phoenix Kalen and Marek Drimal, who argued that 300 basis points “would not be overly aggressive and may be easily absorbed by the market”, while also being enough...
...Phoenix Kalen, an analyst at Société Générale, said that the favourable external environment provided a “cushion” for Turkish assets, but warned: “This buffer may quickly evaporate if there are monetary...
...Phoenix Kalen, emerging markets strategy director at Société Générale, said in a recent client note that the risk of sanctions appeared to have been “pushed out”, adding: “We are unlikely to witness a repeat...
...Phoenix Kalen, director of emerging market strategy at the French bank Société Générale, said it would be an important step towards restoring investor confidence....
...Phoenix Kalen, an emerging markets strategist at Société Générale, warns that without a change of direction from the political leadership, Turkey was likely to remain trapped in a “recurring nightmare”....
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