Hints and tips:
...DeAnne Julius, distinguished fellow at Chatham House: Better....
...DeAnne Julius: That depends on developments in Ukraine....
...Deanne Julius: I expect the Bank will raise rates at least to 1 per cent by the end of 2022....
...DeAnne Julius, former member of the MPC I expect it to end the year between 2-2.5%....
...DeAnne Julius, former member of the MPC I think his presidency will be more significant (negatively) on the geopolitical front than the economic one....
...DeAnne Julius, former member of the MPC I expect at least one rise in interest rates by the end of 2017....
...DeAnne Julius, former member of the MPC I expect growth to slow moderately (to 1.5-2%) after growing above its sustainable rate in 2016....
...DeAnne Julius, former member of the MPC More optimistic than 12 months ago 12 months ago I thought a vote for Brexit would throw the UK into a disruptive political situation involving new elections and...
...So I used historic figures such as Julius Caesar, Simón Bolívar and Napoleon....
...DeAnne Julius, former MPC member, now Chair of UCL The momentum in the UK economy is strong, driven by low unemployment and the resulting consumer confidence and by the happy combination of ultra-low interest...
...DeAnne Julius, former MPC member, now Chair of UCL Housing supply is beginning to improve and I expect further improvement in 2016....
...DeAnne Julius, former MPC member, now Chair of UCL I expect the first interest rate rise will come in 2016 but the change will be an almost insignificant quarter point....
...Andrew Goodwin, Lead UK Economist, Oxford Economics The almost total reliance on services to drive growth remains the key concern, particularly given that the UK's performance as an exporter of services...
...Andrew Goodwin, Lead UK Economist, Oxford Economics a) I think the effect would be noticeable though it wouldn’t be a game changer....
...Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics I’m expecting house prices to fall by another 5 per cent or so this year....
...Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics The fragility of the consumer sector and the government’s austerity measures mean that the UK is going to be heavily reliant on external factors in 2011....
...DeAnne Julius, chairman of Chatham House, former MPC member Recovery – The US is in a sustainable recovery, the strength of which I expect to surprise on the upside....
...Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics The key is to come up with policies which promote exports and business investment as they will be the two key sources of growth in the recovery....
...Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics I think the Bank has to be given some leeway given the state of the economy and the impact of the VAT rises on inflation....
...Andrew Goodwin, Oxford Economics The key risk is undoubtedly a deepening of the eurozone crisis – a collapse of the eurozone could easily send the global economy back into recession through financial market...
...DeAnne Julius, Chatham House and former MPC member The UK property market – both residential and commercial – has seen very significant price falls during 2008 and prospects are for this to continue into...
...DeAnne Julius, Chatham House and former MPC member Those countries that manage their policy response best will recover soonest from this global downturn....
...DeAnne Julius, Chatham House and former MPC member Disaggregated short-term inflation forecasts by Fathom suggest that the UK will see RPI deflation by the Spring and that there is a high probability of...
...DeAnne Julius, Chatham House and former MPC member The main risk, as I see it, is the lack of funding for the commercial sector (not housing)....
...DeAnne Julius, Chatham House and former MPC member As we enter 2009 the recession, which began around the middle of 2008, is still worsening....
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