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Unhedged
Inflation narrative whiplash Premium content
...They earn a spread by acquiring money at a lower price and lending it at a higher one....
April 17, 2024
FT Alphaville
This Christmas, show the world how much you love Jerome Powell
...To mark this moment while it doesn’t yet feel like a mistake, we’ve added a festive Jerome Powell-themed design to our Redbubble store: — Jerome Powell, Christmas Saviour (black text)— Jerome Powell, Christmas...
December 15, 2023
FT Live
Global Banking Summit
The world's top gathering of leaders in finance
Tuesday, 3 DecemberLondon, UK
US & Canadian companies
Nearly all Americans agree . . .
...When asked about the source of the claim, a BPI flak directed us to a paper from Latham & Watkins....
March 7, 2024
Federal Reserve
Fed’s inflation fight is ‘not done’, says Powell
...His message may be particularly important amid a presidential election race year pitting Joe Biden against Donald Trump....
April 3, 2024
US interest rates
Powell says US inflation ‘taking longer than expected’ to hit target
...“If we don’t have a major shock in developments, we are heading towards a moment where we have to moderate the restrictive monetary policy that we have, in reasonably short order,” she told CNBC....
April 17, 2024
Capital markets
UBS issues $3.5bn Dory bond
...a small share of their order....
November 9, 2023
FT Live
The Global Boardroom: 8th Edition
FT journalists in conversation with leaders in business and government
Wednesday, 4 DecemberDigital Conference
Special ReportWatches and Jewellery: April
Yvan Arpa: ‘Looking back, I think I did too much crazy stuff’
...Soon afterwards, Arpa was offered a fresh challenge by the Saudi owners of a fledgling dial name called RJ-Romain Jerome that was struggling to make headway with a €30,000 golfer’s watch equipped with a...
April 9, 2024
US inflation
Fed chair Powell expects US inflation to keep cooling in coming months
...However, the pace of those cuts could yet be scuppered by a new bout of inflation....
March 29, 2024
Federal Reserve
Bullish Jay Powell sticks to Fed’s rate-cutting script
...keeping a lid on wages, were helping the US economy....
March 21, 2024
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed ‘not far’ from having confidence to cut interest rates
...The continued strength of the US economy has defied many forecasters and allowed the Fed to take a cautious approach to cutting rates, confident that higher borrowing costs will not trigger a sharp rise...
March 7, 2024
Federal Reserve
Trump says he would replace ‘political’ Jay Powell as Fed chair
...Speaking to reporters after this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, Powell, who was reappointed to a second term by Biden, brushed off a question about whether he would want a third term...
February 2, 2024
US interest rates
Fed expects to make three rate cuts this year, says Powell
...“We look at inflation over a 12-month basis. That’s our target....
February 5, 2024
Global Economy
Will Chinese prices suffer new year hangover?
...“There’s a limit to what you can expect from a consumer that has lost quite a bit of wage power and is starting to lose some of the subsidies that were put in place,” he added....
February 4, 2024
US employment
‘Stunning’ US jobs growth of 353,000 far outstrips estimates
...Before the report, a cut in May had been fully priced in....
February 2, 2024
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed expects to make ‘material’ changes to controversial bank capital proposals
...In prepared remarks to lawmakers on the topic of the economy, Powell acknowledged “considerable progress” and said interest rates, currently at a 23-year high in a range of 5.25 to 5.5 per cent, were unlikely...
March 6, 2024
FT Live
Strategies for Trading Interest Rate Volatility
Understanding the rate environment and capitalising on fluctuations
Thursday, 20 June71 Basinghall Avenue, London EC2V, UK
US interest rates
Jay Powell pushes back on investor bets on imminent rate cuts
...The uptick was another reason not to signal a March cut....
February 1, 2024
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed rate cuts in March are ‘not base case’
...While Powell’s comments stressed the central bank’s caution on inflation, a change in the language in the committee’s statement removed a bias towards further rate rises....
January 31, 2024
The Long ViewKatie Martin
Jay Powell’s festive giveaway to investors
...on hold but with a solid three of the nine rate-setters voting for a rise....
December 15, 2023
Unhedged
Is the term premium rubbish? Premium content
...So in the long run, we should expect a term premium of zero, since a positive premium would represent a “‘free lunch’ for buy-and-hold accounts”....
October 20, 2023
US banks
US bank reform is going backwards
...Jérôme Legras is a managing partner and head of research at Axiom Alternative Investments If you think the time to worry about US banks’ solvency and capital has passed, think again....
September 13, 2023
FT Swamp Notes
A party, Powell style Premium content
...A lot of people have been over-forecasting a US recession in the last year or two and have embarrassed themselves. I would nevertheless expect a slowdown in 2024, possibly a sharp one....
December 4, 2023
Unhedged
The Fed won’t rely on the market Premium content
...The threshold for what counts as “benefit” is very low, in a civil law context especially. A lunch? Expectation of friendship? Hopes of a cameo in a Michael Lewis book?...
November 2, 2023
Federal Reserve
Powell reveals Fed’s hand on US interest rates
...a move designed to clinch a soft landing for the world’s largest economy....
December 14, 2023
News in-depthUS interest rates
Powell under pressure to set out plan for US interest rate cuts
...Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve is set to hold interest rates for their third policy meeting in a row and keep the federal funds rate at a 22-year high of 5.25-5.5 per cent....
December 10, 2023
US interest rates
Traders boost US rate cut bets despite pushback from Fed’s Powell
...Traders in federal funds futures markets now see about a two-thirds chance of the Fed reducing rates as early as March 2024, up from about 20 per cent a week ago....
December 1, 2023

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