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Unhedged
Inflation narrative whiplash Premium content
...Though it hasn’t happened yet, we could turn a corner at any moment. What would happen to broader inflation if it did?...
April 17, 2024
FT Alphaville
This Christmas, show the world how much you love Jerome Powell
...To mark this moment while it doesn’t yet feel like a mistake, we’ve added a festive Jerome Powell-themed design to our Redbubble store: — Jerome Powell, Christmas Saviour (black text)— Jerome Powell, Christmas...
December 15, 2023
FT Live
Global Banking Summit
The world's top gathering of leaders in finance
Tuesday, 3 DecemberLondon, UK
US & Canadian companies
Nearly all Americans agree . . .
...And it isn’t only the banking industry that’s pushed back. The strangest/funniest pushback has come from the banking industry, though....
March 7, 2024
US interest rates
Powell says US inflation ‘taking longer than expected’ to hit target
...I don’t see it happening in the immediate future,” said Steven Blitz, chief US economist at TS Lombard. Additional reporting by George Steer in New York and Martin Arnold in Frankfurt...
April 17, 2024
Capital markets
UBS issues $3.5bn Dory bond
...Nonetheless, shouldn’t investors be more careful before putting in $35bn of orders for a new AT1 from a Swiss bank? First of all, you shouldn’t trust that number....
November 9, 2023
US inflation
Fed chair Powell expects US inflation to keep cooling in coming months
...“Our position is we don’t know. We’ll tell you what we’ll do if inflation does come down. That’s the base case, that’s what we expect.”...
March 29, 2024
FT Live
The Global Boardroom: 8th Edition
FT journalists in conversation with leaders in business and government
Wednesday, 4 DecemberDigital Conference
Federal Reserve
Bullish Jay Powell sticks to Fed’s rate-cutting script
...“There was an opportunity at this meeting for the Fed to push back [against a June cut] and they didn’t.”...
March 21, 2024
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed ‘not far’ from having confidence to cut interest rates
...“And when we do get that confidence, and we’re not far from it, it will be appropriate to dial back the level of restriction so that we don’t drive the economy into recession.”...
March 7, 2024
Federal Reserve
Trump says he would replace ‘political’ Jay Powell as Fed chair
...I can’t tell you now,” Trump said. Additional reporting by Claire Jones...
February 2, 2024
ReviewBooks
The Two-Parent Privilege — we need to talk about kids with single parents
...Navigating conversations about the choice to raise a child alone is a nightmare, perhaps because it sometimes feels like it wasn’t a choice at all....
September 15, 2023
Global Economy
Will Chinese prices suffer new year hangover?
...“They’re probably going to shrink in the short-term but they aren’t going to fall off a cliff.” Stephanie Stacey...
February 4, 2024
US interest rates
Fed expects to make three rate cuts this year, says Powell
...“So really the kind of pain that I was worried about and so many others were, we haven’t had that. And that’s a really good thing. And, you know, we want that to continue.”...
February 5, 2024
US interest rates
Jay Powell pushes back on investor bets on imminent rate cuts
...Just don’t think that means new cuts are imminent....
February 1, 2024
Unhedged
The Fed won’t rely on the market Premium content
...Of course it could be that Hunterbrook doesn’t plan to “reach in” to anybody....
November 2, 2023
Federal Reserve
Powell says Fed rate cuts in March are ‘not base case’
...“I don’t think it’s likely that we’ll reach a level of confidence by the time of the March meeting . . ....
January 31, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
FT Swamp Notes
A party, Powell style Premium content
...Well, you can’t say the man doesn’t stay on message, though I can’t help but feel sorry for him, and not just because that’s a really sad statement about what fun is for a Fed chair....
December 4, 2023
Unhedged
Is the term premium rubbish? Premium content
...This seems paradoxical but isn’t....
October 20, 2023
US banks
US bank reform is going backwards
...I don’t criticise the Fed for proposing an increase in total capital requirements....
September 13, 2023
Federal Reserve
Powell reveals Fed’s hand on US interest rates
...Powell alluded to those risks on Wednesday, saying it remained “premature” to declare victory over inflation and that further progress “can’t be guaranteed”....
December 14, 2023
News in-depthUS interest rates
Powell under pressure to set out plan for US interest rate cuts
...“What they would like to do is get to [that] stance as quickly as the inflation data will permit, because they know that policy lags haven’t fully played out and that they’re still going to hit the economy...
December 10, 2023
HTSI
The dangerous art of the freedive
...Jerome is Bourc’his’s opposite: bearded and teddy-bear-like, part surfer dude, part guru....
January 10, 2024
Unhedged
Humble Jay gets it right Premium content
...Several reporters gave voice to the market’s agita, asking Powell if he wasn’t worried that, with inflation falling, holding nominal rates higher for longer didn’t risk an increase in real rates that would...
September 21, 2023
US interest rates
The new question for the Fed: how long to keep rates high
...“Last year, because inflation was so far from target, they didn’t have the luxury of even letting one strong data print go by....
November 2, 2023
Transcript
Transcript: Why inflation is sticking around
...Yesterday, Fed chair Jerome Powell hedged on exactly when they’d start to cut rates. Voice clip of Jerome Powell We believe that our policy rate is likely at its peak for this tightening cycle....
March 21, 2024
US retail
Retailers point to cracks in the picture of US consumer resilience
...“The market for perceived discounts remains strong,” said Greg Portell, a lead partner at the consultancy Kearney....
November 18, 2023

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