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UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
JPMorgan’s increasing returns Premium content
...They found that the standout stocks today are at much cheaper valuations than the stars of the 90s were, and while the valuations of the Magnificent 7 et al do look a lot like the “Nifties,” they tend to...
March 11, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Art as investment and investment as art Premium content
...More seriously, Goetzman et al argue that art price changes are largely a function of wealth concentration....
April 15, 2024
FT Live
Financial Adviser Service Awards 2024
Who gives you 5 star service?
Thursday, 21 NovemberNatural History Museum, Cromwell Road, London, UK
Capital markets
The nuances (ish) of private credit vintages
...However, Weinstein et al say they are excited to a large extent because those aforementioned risks are now materialising. As private credit investors, this is the environment we’ve been waiting for....
November 29, 2023
Unhedged
Banks and the soft landing Premium content
...The riskiest, most beat-up members of the group (KeyCorp, Comerica, Zions, Western Alliance et al) rose the most....
November 16, 2023
Unhedged
The Fed calls the top Premium content
...If you owned rate-sensitive, high-risk stocks yesterday you have Unhedged’s permission to sell and take the rest of the year off (Carvana, Zillow, SoFi, et al rose 10 per cent or more)....
December 14, 2023
Economists Exchange
Charles Goodhart: ‘We’re in for a fiscal crisis down the road and we don’t know how to solve it’
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
December 14, 2023
FT Live
Bank of the Year Awards 2024
Recognising the best in banking globally
Wednesday, 4 DecemberLondon, UK
Disrupted Times
British banks’ torrid summer continues
...The row comes hot on the heels of criticism from Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey that banks needed to pass on higher interest rates to savers, echoing demands from chancellor Jeremy Hunt and the Financial...
July 26, 2023
Sovereign bonds
Who’s afraid of the Treasury basis trade?
...But as Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty et al point out, the US government bond market has been pretty choppy for a while now....
September 26, 2023
Eurozone inflation
Lessons from a century of inflation shocks
...As Isabella Weber et al have written, energy is along with food one of the most “systemic” components of inflation....
September 18, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
First Republic’s dilemma Premium content
...Shares in other banks considered to have some degree of asset-liability mismatch (Western Alliance, Zions et al) only saw their shares wobble a little bit yesterday....
April 26, 2023
Global Economy
R Star Star Wars: The Phantom Menace
...That the Fed’s rate increases precipitated a banking crisis before they got inflation down to even vaguely near their target looks like a good example of what Akinci et al were arguing last year....
May 23, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Banks: quickly, then slowly Premium content
...To put it more simply: Jiang et al argue there are $2.2tn in mark-to-market losses out there, and there is only $2.2tn in equity in the US banking system....
March 24, 2023
Transcript
Transcript: Learning to love the boom
...What about how concentrated the stock market gains are with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google et al? I mean, shouldn’t that weigh against this rally? What about that? Katie MartinMaybe yes....
March 5, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The market is up — narrowly Premium content
...The recent rise of the Faangs, et al, looks like a knee-jerk reaction to the fall in rates and rate expectations that followed the banking mess (the 10-year yield has fallen from 4-ish per cent to 3.6-ish...
April 19, 2023
FT Alphaville
Can a rest be as good as a change for the Bank of England?
...Citi’s Ben Nabarro has summed up the complex action vs words balance Andrew Bailey et al. will need to strike at a “tight call” meeting....
March 17, 2023
FT Live
Financial Advice Forum
Optimising client centric advice in uncertain times
Tuesday, 24 September8-14 Cooper's Row, London EC3N 2BQ, UK
Moral Money
Human rights rules could give bankers a run for their money Premium content
...And for all the flaws of the current approach to equity and inclusion, Edmans et al say it does seem to be bearing some fruit: the average DEI score from their calculations has risen from 4.1 out of 5 in...
April 26, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Techs good, transports bad Premium content
...But as Steven Kelly of the Yale Program on Financial Stability pointed out to me, Yellen et al will need the goodwill of the big banks should some other bank or banks get into trouble....
April 28, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Opec isn’t scaring anyone
...The addition of the “+” countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Mexico et al) to the cartel have increased its market share....
April 4, 2023
Disrupted Times
Rapid growth of AI spurs calls for greater regulation
...Eurozone inflation rose for the first time in six months from 6.9 per cent to 7 per cent in April, complicating the picture for tomorrow’s European Central Bank decision on interest rates....
May 3, 2023
UnhedgedUS economy
US consumers are still riding high Premium content
...If we are right that consumer spending, despite some recent softening on the margin, is still at or above trend, that is another thing for Powell et al to fret over....
February 1, 2023
Unhedged
Don’t regulate crypto as finance Premium content
...Luckily, efforts to ram crypto’s square peg into the round hole of the Securities Act of 1933 (et al) have proceeded slowly to date. But there is danger this mistaken project will accelerate now....
November 22, 2022
Transcript
Tracking the mysterious rise of a UAE company
...And then he’s the chairman of First Abu Dhabi Bank. So one, it’s incredible the reach this one guy has....
March 8, 2023
Sovereign debt
How to restructure sovereign debt
...Further reading: The Restructuring Process — Buchheit et al. (2019)Government bonds since Waterloo — Meyer et al. (2021)The aftermath of sovereign debt crises: a narrative approach — Esteves et al. (2021...
September 16, 2022
Trade Secrets
Governments are facing a stormy world economy alone Premium content
..., Covid et al) wouldn’t bring globalisation to a halt....
October 17, 2022
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The SEC should not touch crypto Premium content
...Prosecute fraud, maybe regulate crypto exchanges like casinos, and keep the SEC et al out of it. This is a disagreement about how to cordon off crypto so that when crypto burns, it is controlled....
December 9, 2022

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