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Corporate bonds
Investors shun riskiest US corporate bonds on default fears
...S&P Global Ratings said in a report on Thursday that triple C borrowers would “contend with weak cash flow and elevated interest expenses this year”, while “defaults in 2024 [would] largely come from consumer-facing...
February 19, 2024
High yield bonds
Is it PIK-up time for cash-strapped companies?
...Typically, these are to either a) pay cash coupons; b) toggle to ‘pay’ bondholders with more debt claims, albeit with some additional penalty (even more debt claims); c) to PIK for a while then switch to...
February 21, 2024
FT Live
Commodities Asia Summit
Enabling decarbonisation in a time of disrupted trade flows
Wednesday, 6 NovemberSingapore
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Berkshire or the S&P? Premium content
...) big enough to make a meaningful impact on Berkshire’s earnings, (b) possible to reliably value, (c) have trustworthy and competent management, and (d) are available at a reasonable price....
February 26, 2024
Thames Water
Thames Water crisis prompts jitters over ‘gold standard’ debt model
...Traders are marking a riskier £250mn “class B” bond at little over 60 pence in the pound....
April 23, 2024
Equities
Small stocks, big problems
...In contrast, the S&P 500’s price-to-book ratio is close to the record 5 times it touched in 2021 and 2000 (the Nasdaq’s P/B ratio is close to 7.5 times)....
April 17, 2024
Markets
Can spreads ever be too tight? Premium content
...The S&P 500 is not yet quite as expensive as it was in the zero-rate, fiscal bonanza, everyone-has-loads-of-cash glory days of 2021. But it is getting closer....
March 19, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
Emerging markets
If a country defaults and no one is around to notice it, does it matter?
...We also lowered our local currency (LC) sovereign credit ratings on Cameroon to ‘CCC+/C’ from ‘B-/B’. The outlook on the LC long-term rating is stable....
August 9, 2023
Cryptocurrencies
What is a FRAX? And other pressing questions
...They’re digital tokens backed either by a) dollar-denominated portfolios of safe assets; b) unaudited promises that they have safe assets; or c) magical confidence maths that only work until a death spiral...
December 13, 2023
Banks
Mike Mayo ❤️ Citi
...(c) 1 LOB (“Services”) = almost all of Citi’s market cap....
January 2, 2024
Unhedged
Where Tesla departs from the Mag 7 Premium content
...In the case of the McKinsey report published in 2020, the main study gathered data about diversity on the boards and in the C-suites of more than 1,000 large global companies....
April 3, 2024
ReviewMusic
Mostly Mozart festival review — a satisfying new fusion and a phenomenal young bassist
...So were the soloists, soprano Erin Morley and mezzo Kate Lindsey (tenor Nicholas Phan and bass Jonathon Adams were solid in their much smaller parts)....
August 2, 2023
Unhedged
Five questions for 2024 Premium content
...We like boxes B and C. Will the long end follow the short end down, and why? We can debate how much short rates will come down, but it seems pretty clear that they will fall....
December 19, 2023
Lex PopuliFinancials
Credit ratings: time for downgrades for lenders, property and the US
...Fitch downgraded the company to B- this week. Commercial real estate is in even worse shape. US flexible offices group WeWork was recently downgraded to CC, one notch above a C rating....
August 25, 2023
Unhedged
Torsten Slok: the Fed won’t cut this year Premium content
...Slok: In some cases triple C, even single B credit looks more vulnerable, because those are the firms that are more vulnerable to higher interest rates....
March 22, 2024
Unhedged
The Zombie notpocalypse Premium content
...“Is it true that triple-C firms have interest coverage ratios below 1? Definitely, but that’s always been the case....
November 21, 2023
FT Live
Crypto and Digital Assets Summit Asia
Transforming mainstream finance
Thursday, 5 DecemberDigital Conference
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
The case for optimism Premium content
...Chart from S&P Global, through September: Part of the reason for this is that companies are making money....
November 6, 2023
US economy
US junk loan defaults surge as higher interest rates start to bite
...There is still demand for lower-quality single-B loans, said Drew Sweeney, a loan portfolio manager at asset manager TCW, referring to the rating just above triple-C....
June 13, 2023
FT SeriesHigher for longer
Private equity: higher rates start to pummel dealmakers
...Even higher-quality companies are getting shut out, with single-B and single-B minus rated loan issuance in the US down more than 70 per cent from 2021 levels....
November 1, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
All eyes on sales growth Premium content
...in cash or (c) spend cash buying shares from the public to limit dilution....
March 7, 2023
Energy Source
Opinion: Time is up for Big Oil’s business model Premium content
...Canada is the world’s fourth-biggest oil producer, pumping 4.8mn b/d of oil last year, of which oil sands accounted for 3.2mn b/d....
May 30, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Why markets have ignored Russia Premium content
...(b) is very unlikely. The chances of (c) are impossible to estimate, even granting that Putin looks weaker now....
June 27, 2023
FT SeriesFT Magazine’s Italy food and drink special
My liquid investigation into Italy’s love affair with Tennent’s Extra
...He was joined by his C&C colleague George Kyle....
March 25, 2023
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Do most buybacks destroy value? Premium content
...fair value, and therefore (c) most buybacks probably destroy value....
February 28, 2023
Transcript
Pub quiz showdown: Alphaville vs Unhedged
...Is it A) 27 per cent, B) 48 per cent or C) 95 per cent? Robin Wigglesworth I know they’re up a lot this year, aren’t they, Alex? Alexandra Scaggs Yeah. Yeah, I think....
November 8, 2023
Global Economy
Policy before profits
...Some can establish discretionary loss-absorbing buffers before accounting P&L is calculated (eg NBB and DNB)....
February 7, 2023

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