Hints and tips:
...Productivity-hype bubbles are usually separated by at least 25 years and usually form at the end of a secular bull market, when aggregate profits are coming under pressure, say Garthwaite et al....
...If you owned rate-sensitive, high-risk stocks yesterday you have Unhedged’s permission to sell and take the rest of the year off (Carvana, Zillow, SoFi, et al rose 10 per cent or more)....
...The riskiest, most beat-up members of the group (KeyCorp, Comerica, Zions, Western Alliance et al) rose the most....
...But as Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty et al point out, the US government bond market has been pretty choppy for a while now....
...The context for that was the turmoil around Silicon Valley Bank, et al....
...Given how volatile the data was during Covid-19, Williams et al suspended their estimates until May....
...al)....
...That the Fed’s rate increases precipitated a banking crisis before they got inflation down to even vaguely near their target looks like a good example of what Akinci et al were arguing last year....
...Today’s top stories The US Federal Reserve announces its decision on interest rates at 2pm ET/7pm London today. Check back here for details and reaction....
...Shares in other banks considered to have some degree of asset-liability mismatch (Western Alliance, Zions et al) only saw their shares wobble a little bit yesterday....
...What about how concentrated the stock market gains are with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google et al? I mean, shouldn’t that weigh against this rally? What about that? Katie MartinMaybe yes....
...Isn’t it high time the regulators increased oversight on Blackstone and Apollo, et al, as this relatively new and powerful group of financial titans continue their march to the top of the heap on Wall Street...
...And corporations of all types use longer-term currency swaps to hedge their own foreign currency bond liabilities (McBrady et al (2010), Munro and Wooldridge (2010)). The BIS’s suggestion?...
...If we are right that consumer spending, despite some recent softening on the margin, is still at or above trend, that is another thing for Powell et al to fret over....
...And for all the flaws of the current approach to equity and inclusion, Edmans et al say it does seem to be bearing some fruit: the average DEI score from their calculations has risen from 4.1 out of 5 in...
...Today’s top stories The US Federal Reserve announces its decision on interest rates at 2pm ET/7pm London time today. Check back here for details and reaction....
...That global macroeconomic movements this year have been in large part due to the United States Federal Reserve is so obvious that this paragraph is pointless....
...But as Steven Kelly of the Yale Program on Financial Stability pointed out to me, Yellen et al will need the goodwill of the big banks should some other bank or banks get into trouble....
...The addition of the “+” countries (Russia, Kazakhstan, Mexico et al) to the cartel have increased its market share....
...Luckily, efforts to ram crypto’s square peg into the round hole of the Securities Act of 1933 (et al) have proceeded slowly to date. But there is danger this mistaken project will accelerate now....
...Prosecute fraud, maybe regulate crypto exchanges like casinos, and keep the SEC et al out of it. This is a disagreement about how to cordon off crypto so that when crypto burns, it is controlled....
...A Federal Reserve Board of Governors paper by Edmund Crawley et al says $2.5tn of Fed balance sheet unwind would approximately equate to a 0.50 percentage point of tightening, or 20 basis points per trillion...
...Does that mean already anxious investors have little to fear as the Fed et al embark on QT?...
...Reserve announces its decision on interest rates today at 2pm ET (7pm London)....
...A true crisis could develop if Binance et al have significant hidden exposure to declining prices, perhaps through DeFi investments....
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