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Letter
Letter: Bond investors — don’t look a gift horse in the mouth
...Bond investors should take the gift. You are being given a second chance to buy duration at a much better yield level than four months ago. Chance of rate rises: zero....
April 22, 2024
Donald Trump
The subprime-loan billionaire behind Trump’s $175mn bond
...charged for the bond....
April 2, 2024
FT Live
FTWeekend Festival: U.S. edition
Where the Financial Times weekend paper comes to life
Saturday, 4 MayThe REACH, at the Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, F Street Northwest, Washington, DC, USA
Unhedged
Harley Bassman: mortgage bond prices are ‘off the charts crazy’ Premium content
...But if I showed you a bond that was win two, lose one, that’s a better bond! Markets adjust to that bond’s positive convexity, though, so you’d get paid less yield. But how much less yield?...
April 12, 2024
US banks
How zero-interest deposits bail out banks
...This month’s bond rally will have improved things, but here is a chart from Apollo’s latest US bank outlook showing the damage....
November 29, 2023
Corporate bonds
Companies rush to issue bonds to forestall market volatility ahead of US election
...“What we’re seeing across the board is higher volumes and tighter spreads — better access for companies.”...
March 31, 2024
Sovereign bonds
The passive attack on bond markets
...headwind. — Bond indices are dumb; by weighting according to size it means a passive fund is tilted towards the most heavily-indebted countries and companies in the world. — Index funds don’t buy at issuance...
February 8, 2024
FT Live
Future of Asset Management Europe
New fund firm models for Europe's resurgence
Tuesday, 12 NovemberLondon, UK
Investing in funds
Why ETFs work better in illiquid markets
...But most importantly — from a systemic risk point of view at least — the incentives are better than they are for traditional bond mutual funds....
February 7, 2024
Moral Money
Corporate emissions: don’t just take their word for it Premium content
...But as our first story today highlights, a divide is emerging between companies that get their carbon reports audited and those that don’t....
February 23, 2024
Markets
Can spreads ever be too tight? Premium content
...As you can see at right, bank credit is still restricted, but spreads don’t care....
March 19, 2024
European Central Bank
ECB makes first loss since 2004 due to higher interest costs
...One concern had been that governments might need to bail out some northern central banks with the highest losses, such as the Dutch one....
February 22, 2024
Sovereign bonds
TIPSplaining a lousy inflation hedge
...But unless you’re trading or pricing TIPS in size, or with leverage, we probably don’t need to go there....
January 31, 2024
Trade Secrets
Ajay Banga tries to build a better World Bank Premium content
...Lurking behind these changes at the World Bank is a cloud of resentment from many borrowing countries, who don’t want to be told what to borrow money for and see rich-world lecturing on climate change as...
April 15, 2024
Unhedged
Armen Panossian: why the Fed might not cut Premium content
...And then we would say, well, that’s why we don’t do it....
February 16, 2024
UnhedgedEthan Wu
The crowded corporate credit trade Premium content
...But that assumes no defaults; in reality high absolute yields don’t dependably translate to realised returns....
January 29, 2024
Simon Edelsten
Investments that get my vote in this election year
...“Are you better off today than you were four years ago?”...
February 28, 2024
FT Live
Commodities Asia Summit
Enabling decarbonisation in a time of disrupted trade flows
Wednesday, 6 NovemberSingapore
Economists Exchange
Stephanie Kelton: ‘Inflation has come down in spite of the Fed, not because of it’
...BM: You have called bonds a big giveaway. Walk me through that, because most people don’t see it that way. SK: What is the real purpose of bonds? We have a floating exchange rate and a fiat currency....
January 11, 2024
US interest rates
Only rates markets are pricing in recession
...Who’s afraid of the bond market? US rates are flashing stronger recession signals, even as risky markets have gone on a tear....
December 7, 2023
News in-depthUS society
Illinois to become first US state to abolish cash bail
...Unable to afford 10 per cent of the $75,000 bond set by a judge — the deposit necessary to satisfy Chicago courts or, in other jurisdictions, to obtain the remainder from a bail bond lender — Flo was incarcerated...
September 17, 2023
Corporate bonds
Could change of control covenants put a drag on M&A?
...And it certainly possible that while change of control covenants are super prevalent (the authors of this study reckon well over half of all bonds have them), they don’t actually appear in the bonds that...
February 9, 2024
UnhedgedRobert Armstrong
Art as investment and investment as art Premium content
...Our view is that it probably won’t, simply because geopolitical disruptions don’t usually matter. As we argued back in October, markets don’t understand war any better than the rest of us....
April 15, 2024
The Big Read
Can long-term mortgages help solve the UK’s housing crisis?
...“Most people’s marriages don’t last 25 years so, you know, fixing your mortgage for 25 is pretty hopeful.”...
April 23, 2024
Unhedged
Manny Roman: ‘there will be a tidal wave of money coming’ Premium content
...Do they have better terms than the [bond] market? And can one truly be agnostic about where value is? And the private debt issued by sponsors really needs to be held to maturity....
December 21, 2023
Exchange traded funds
ETF investors jumped into a host of lossmaking trades in 2023
...“If you don’t have a view on the dollar it makes sense to hedge to eliminate currency risk but most investors don’t seem to think there are benefits,” he added....
January 8, 2024
Unhedged
Cliff Asness: AI is ‘still just statistics’ Premium content
...So if Warren Buffett had 90 per cent in equities and added 60 per cent bonds [summing up to greater than 100 per cent because of leverage], I believe he would’ve done better....
March 8, 2024
Transcript
Transcript: Active changes to passive indices
...But I guess there just needs to be a better understanding that this is how these things come to life. But so, if it was up to you, what would you do?...
April 23, 2024

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