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...The approximately 2 per cent peak-to-trough fall in GDP seen back then isn’t so dissimilar from our forecasts for the 2023 downturn....
...In 2019, we expect S&P 500 companies to execute approximately $800bn in buybacks and return an additional $500bn [or so] via dividends, which is in line with 2018 shareholder return.”...
...It appears that any US decision as to whether the current 10 per cent tariff on $200bn of Chinese imports jumps to 25 per cent in January will depend on a later meeting in Washington....
...We forecast quarterly growth to accelerate to an average of 0.4 per cent across 2020 from an estimated 0.25 per cent in 2019 (although the annual rate would slow to 1.2 per cent from 1.3 per cent)....
...But, despite these efforts, it has suffered a cash outflow of approximately $210m in 2017 year to date....
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